Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in AprilJune suggests that economic activity decelerated somewhat over the economy has been expanding moderatelyfirst half of this year. However, growthGrowth in employment has slowedbeen slow
in recent months, and the unemployment rate remains elevated. Business
fixed investment has continued to advance. Household spending appears to behas been rising at a somewhat slower pace than earlier in the year. Despite some further signs of improvement, the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has declined,declined since earlier this year, mainly reflecting lower prices of crude oil and gasoline, and longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster
maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects economic
growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up very
gradually. Consequently, the Committee anticipates that the unemployment
rate will decline only slowly toward levels that it judges to be
consistent with its dual mandate. Furthermore, strains in global
financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the
economic outlook. The Committee anticipates that inflation over the
medium term will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent
with its dual mandate.
To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that
inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual
mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance
for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep
the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and
currently anticipates that economic conditions-including low rates of
resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium
run-are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal
funds rate at least through late 2014.
The Committee also decided to continue through the end of the year its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities. Specifically, the Committee intends to purchase Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years at the current paceas announced in June, and to
sell or redeem an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining
maturities of approximately 3 years or less. This continuation of the
maturity extension program should put downward pressure on longer-term
interest rates and help to make broader financial conditions more
accommodative. The Committeeit is maintaining its
existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of
agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency
mortgage-backed securities. The Committee is prepared to take further actionwill closely monitor incoming information on economic and financial developments and will provide additional accommodation as appropriateneeded to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labor market conditions in a context of price stability.