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Mortgage rates held on to their recent improvements today after the important Employment Situation (the big "jobs report") showed November job creation was lower than expected. In general, weaker job creation is good for interest rates because it speaks to slower economic growth and inflation (both of which are enemies of rates). This report was particularly important because a strong result would have cast doubt on several speeches from members of the Federal Reserve. Those speeches have warned about slower economic growth in 2019 and the potential for fewer rate hikes than previously anticipated. There were no clear winners or losers at first--probably because job creation is still historically solid. Additionally, the unemployment rate remained ultra low, and wage growth remained above 3
Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates held on to their recent improvements today after the important Employment Situation (the big "jobs report") showed November job creation was lower than expected. In general, weaker job creation is good for interest rates because it spe... (read more)
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Housing News
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Three researchers from the Urban Institute (UI) recently analyzed the new capital standards rule proposed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs.) The proposed rule includes two alternative leverage rati... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Powell's speech last week at the Economic Club of New York marked the beginning of an official shift. Until then, while the Fed had its dovish dissenters, the consensus was "steady as she goes" with respect to regular rate hikes in the coming q... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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The year has sped along, and here we are at Pearl Harbor Day already. Although mortgage rates have lagged, what has pushed Treasury rates down? Released earlier this week, the Federal Reserve's latest report on economic conditions, known as the Beige... (read more)
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Housing News
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Fannie Mae's Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) for November rose slightly, but within the 0.5-point increase was some increased confidence about personal finances and the wisdom of buying a home. The index, which consolidates responses from a subs... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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This morning's trading--both before and after NFP came out--basically acted as additional time for debate . Both MBS and Treasuries bounced quickly, but symmetrically around yesterday's closing levels before finally choosing a direction. ... (read more)
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consumerfinancemonitor.com
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