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Mortgage rates have been exceptionally sideways for nearly 2 weeks now--this after hitting the highest levels in more than 4 years on April 25th. As always, the run up to long-term highs happened in concert with weakness in the broader bond market. Rates are based primarily on the prices of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). In turn, MBS movement is heavily dependent on movement in the broader bond market (where bonds like US Treasuries are top dog, domestically). All that to say: we're not really witnessing a mortgage rate phenomenon, but rather a bond market phenomenon. Both Treasuries and MBS are trying to decide if they will try to stage a more meaningful recovery or if they will push up to even higher levels than those seen in late April. Some of this week's data and events could play a
Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates have been exceptionally sideways for nearly 2 weeks now--this after hitting the highest levels in more than 4 years on April 25th. As always, the run up to long-term highs happened in concert with weakness in the broader bond market. R... (read more)
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Housing News
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The month of March nearly always sees a significant decline in the national delinquency rate. The average March decrease during this century has been just under 11.0 percent. Black Knight has speculated in the past that this is likely because the rec... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Longer-term rates have been in a bit of a holding pattern after deciding not to smash through the highest levels in more than 4 years at the end of April. Since then, the trend has been anything but conclusive with yields drifting mostly side... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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Nearly every residential lender is selectively scaling back, or rumored to be scaling back, for a multitude of reasons. Suddenly a company cutting a LO who is barely doing one loan a month, or shuttering a continuously unprofitable branch, is turned ... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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After the week's biggest dose of intraday volatility this morning, rates ended up almost perfectly unchanged. Charts suggest an uncommonly high amount of indecision with 3 out of the 5 trading days seeing overall ranges that were at least 4 t... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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This happens from time to time on Mondays. Either due to a holiday overseas or some other distraction, a data-free Monday ends up being a complete dud in terms of volume and volatility in the US trading session. Such was the case today, w... (read more)
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