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Mortgage rates were slightly higher today, but not because of the Fed. Today brought a Fed policy announcement which can be quite a big deal for rates, depending on the particulars. This time around, those particulars were almost exactly the same as the previous Fed statement. Investors will sometimes read some significance into such an absence of change, but that wasn't a factor today. Of far greater importance to rates was an update from the Treasury department that spelled out near-term borrowing plans. Government spending is funded in large part by the issuance of Treasury debt. The more debt issued, the greater the supply and Econ 101 tells us what happens when supply rises: prices fall! While falling prices might sound like a good thing, in the case of Treasury debt, it means investors
Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates were slightly higher today, but not because of the Fed. Today brought a Fed policy announcement which can be quite a big deal for rates, depending on the particulars. This time around, those particulars were almost exactly the same as ... (read more)
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Housing News
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A steadily declining number of prospective homebuyers hope to actually buy within the next 12 months according to the second quarter National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Trends Report (HTR). The percentage of those among the more than... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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I imagine the Congressional kickball match is really something to watch at its summer picnic. That branch of the government has become very adept at kicking things down the road, this time with flood insurance. (Good luck having them act on something... (read more)
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Housing News
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Construction spending fell unexpectedly in June. The U.S. Census said overall spending was down 1.1 percent from the May estimate to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.332 trillion. Spending was still higher, by 6.1 percent, than the June 2017 a... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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It's beginning to look and sound a lot like the Springtime when bond analysts were making their calls for the year's highest 10yr yields. Guesses ranged from 3-4% with the majority somewhere in the lower half of that range. The trigger ba... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May June indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid strong rate. Job gains have been strong, on avera... (read more)
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