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It seems like only yesterday that we were looking at the December new home sale numbers - well actually it was 6 days ago. Now we have the January sales numbers as the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development continue to catch up from the shutdown's data drought. However, while December sales surprised everyone with a 16.9 percent increase to 621,000 units (now revised to 652,000) January took back a lot of those gains. Sales were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 607,000 units, a 6.9 percent reversal. This puts sales down 4.1 percent year-over-year. That the January numbers were not worse was solely due to a surge in sales in the West. They fell by double digit percentages in the other three regions. The January estimate was still solidly within the 590,000 to 640,000
Housing News
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It seems like only yesterday that we were looking at the December new home sale numbers - well actually it was 6 days ago. Now we have the January sales numbers as the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development continue to catc... (read more)
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Housing News
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Folks who follow real estate might be getting a little nervous. Since that category includes almost everyone who owns a home, wants to own a home, or makes money buying, selling, building, or furnishing a home, that could be a lot of edgy people. And... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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Happy pi day, 3.14… Did you hear about the three statisticians that went out hunting? They spotted a rabbit. The first shot too high. The second shot too low. The third cried out, “We got it!” Statistics are tricky things (are sale... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Top line, bottom line: Brexit is a big deal. Without the Brexit referendum in mid-2016, US bond yields never would have revisited all-time lows. It's important to remember that London is big player in financial market history. The L... (read more)
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Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates were officially lower today, despite some weakness in the bond market. In general, bond market weakness coincides with rates moving higher. This time around, the weakness was minimal, and mortgage lenders had a bit of catching up to do... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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For the most part, today was marked by the same sort of resilience seen on several recent occasions where bond yields have either held steady or fallen despite decent-to-strong economic data. In today's case, it was a fairly healthy (dependin... (read more)
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