Tue, Aug 15 2017, 9:08 AM
Geopolitical risk is one of the most intuitive market movers for bonds. Threats of nuclear attacks from North Korea (as well as the rhetorical respon...
Mon, Aug 14 2017, 5:24 PM
Housing, at least according to Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist Sean Becketti, isn't unaffordable. It just feels that way . Becketti, in...
Mon, Aug 14 2017, 5:16 PM
Bond markets lost ground today, with all of the weakness arriving during the overnight session. The weakness was driven by a general "risk-on" move...
Mon, Aug 14 2017, 4:29 PM
Mortgage rates rose moderately today as weekend news headlines suggested some measure of de-escalation of nuclear tensions between the US and North Ko...
Mon, Aug 14 2017, 10:45 AM
About a month ago, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) seized on the May Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey (JOLTs) report as an indi...
Mon, Aug 14 2017, 10:32 AM
If you haven't seen/read my primers on various technical analysis topics, they're linked at certain points in the text below, and will be helpful in m...
Mon, Aug 14 2017, 9:22 AM
Time passes by, and we have one week until the first total solar eclipse crossing the US from coast to coast since 1918. Football fans know that the s...
Fri, Aug 11 2017, 6:16 PM
Citing increased fraud affecting its education and testing procedures, the Nationwide Multistate Licensing System (NMLS) is implementing a new biometr...
Fri, Aug 11 2017, 5:59 PM
Bond markets ultimately rallied modestly following today's much-anticipated CPI data. This is a departure from recent norms as the last 3 reports...
Fri, Aug 11 2017, 5:40 PM
Mortgage rates held near the lowest levels since November 2016 today, after a key economic report showed subdued inflation. The Consumer Price Index (...
Fri, Aug 11 2017, 9:47 AM
Fannie and Freddie are doing their best to remain integral to housing finance. Let me save you a lot of money that you’d spend going to conferences ju...
Fri, Aug 11 2017, 8:28 AM
After a longstanding reign as one of the most meaningful market movers, inflation data became an outcast for most of the recovery from the financial c...
Thu, Aug 10 2017, 4:29 PM
It's hard to appreciate just how different the trading session was for stocks compared to bonds. To be sure, a near 5bp drop in 10yr yields is "nice,...
Thu, Aug 10 2017, 3:39 PM
Mortgage rates remained in line with 2017's lows today, despite noticeable improvement in underlying bond markets. Under normal circumstances, bond ma...
Thu, Aug 10 2017, 11:28 AM
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) expects there will be a sharp downturn reported in July sales of newly constructed homes. While its Builder App...
Thu, Aug 10 2017, 11:12 AM
Freddie Mac has made some changes to the way in which lenders must handle rental income. The changes are primarily aimed at determining the stability ...
Thu, Aug 10 2017, 10:02 AM
In terms of 10yr yields, bond markets have been locked in the same narrow range for a week and half. Even when the range was only 2 days old last wee...
Thu, Aug 10 2017, 9:12 AM
“Rob, I am a new loan officer in an area with lots of high balance loans, and my company caps me out at $7,500 of commissions. But real estate agents ...
Wed, Aug 9 2017, 6:10 PM
Bonds had already begun the process of rallying in response to geopolitical risk yesterday afternoon. Notably, the headlines hit after the 3pm CME ...
Wed, Aug 9 2017, 5:32 PM
Mortgage rates fell to new lows for the year today, following the North Korea nuclear threat headlines. In truth, the preceding sentence gives too muc...
Wed, Aug 9 2017, 2:23 PM
Jumbo loans have historically been more expensive for borrowers than those the meet the "conforming" loan limit - which is currently set at $424,100. ...
Wed, Aug 9 2017, 10:05 AM
There are several definitions of "pain trade" floating around on the web, and I'm not a huge fan of any of them. The top google hit is particularly b...
Wed, Aug 9 2017, 9:24 AM
A while back I was walking past a small group of a lender’s senior managers and one of them was joking, “With the money we’ll save by shutting down qu...
Wed, Aug 9 2017, 9:10 AM
CoreLogic reported on Tuesday that the national mortgage delinquency rate in May was the lowest in nearly a decade . The company's Loan Performance In...
Wed, Aug 9 2017, 8:26 AM
Refinancing performed well during the week ended August 4, pulling the Mortgage Bankers Association's Market Composite Index higher. The Index, a meas...
Tue, Aug 8 2017, 7:15 PM
Bonds began the day in moderately weaker territory and continued to lose ground through the early afternoon. After consolidating in extreme fashion...
Tue, Aug 8 2017, 6:50 PM
Mortgage rates moved microscopically lower today, keeping them in line with the best levels in more than a month. The caveat is that there really hasn...
Tue, Aug 8 2017, 11:27 AM
Like all large financial institutions, the government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are required by the Dodd-Frank Act to su...
Tue, Aug 8 2017, 10:05 AM
The extent to which inflation-related metrics have come into focus is uncanny relative to just how unimportant they'd been to markets for most of th...
Tue, Aug 8 2017, 9:38 AM
Production folks should know that Senators announced the introduction of S. 1753 , the SAFE Transitional Licensing Act, which would amend the SAFE Mor...
Tue, Aug 8 2017, 9:08 AM
Consumer attitudes toward buying and selling a home turned negative in July. Fannie Mae's National Housing Survey conducted during the month found few...
Mon, Aug 7 2017, 5:55 PM
Bond markets began the week in underwhelming fashion, with both MBS and Treasuries ending the day very close to unchanged compared to Friday's latest ...
Mon, Aug 7 2017, 5:30 PM
Mortgage rates were generally unchanged today, compared to Friday afternoon's latest levels. Only a handful of lenders responded to strength in bond m...
Mon, Aug 7 2017, 11:28 AM
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's (the GSE's) low downpayment loans are apparently beginning to cause some pain for FHA lending. Black Knight's Mortgage Mo...
Mon, Aug 7 2017, 10:08 AM
Last week's NFP was eerily predictable. Either that, or I got lucky.
My thought was that the market had been fairly range-bound and especially d...
Mon, Aug 7 2017, 9:32 AM
Hard to believe that yesterday marked the 10-year anniversary of American Home Mortgage’s bankruptcy filing. Many years ago, Angelo Mozilo warned our ...
Mon, Aug 7 2017, 9:18 AM
CoreLogic says conditions in the mortgage market are once again fertile ground for mortgage fraud . The company's National Fraud Risk Index hit a new ...
Fri, Aug 4 2017, 5:55 PM
The week began on Tuesday, for all intents and purposes. July's "month-end" trading generally took place by last Friday and Monday was left as a mere...
Fri, Aug 4 2017, 5:26 PM
While it was far from a dramatic move mortgage rates ticked slightly higher after today's Employment Situation data, otherwise known simply as "the jo...
Fri, Aug 4 2017, 11:23 AM
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs, or "government-sponsored enterprises") were already well past having paid back taxpayer bailouts before this wee...
Fri, Aug 4 2017, 9:18 AM
Harvard research finds that Americans will spend $316B remodeling their homes in 2017 vs. $296B in 2016. This also compares to a low of $222B (in 2009...
Fri, Aug 4 2017, 9:13 AM
My commentary took a bearish turn , essentially saying that bond markets had done what they could to price-in a poor NFP number and that anything out...
Thu, Aug 3 2017, 7:20 PM
I hate to say anything bad about bond market gains. Bond market gains are among a few of my favorite things, after all! I also hope I'm wrong in thi...
Thu, Aug 3 2017, 4:29 PM
Within hours of each other Laurie Goodman, co-director of the Urban Institute's Housing Finance Policy Center, and Melvin Watt, Director of the Federa...
Thu, Aug 3 2017, 3:28 PM
Mortgage rates moved just slightly lower today, bringing them to the best levels in over a month for the 2nd time this week. While that sounds somewha...
Thu, Aug 3 2017, 11:07 AM
While adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) make up only a fraction of mortgage originations (just over 6 percent in the most recent Mortgage Bankers Assoc...
Thu, Aug 3 2017, 9:13 AM
“You never realize how many people you hate until you have to name a baby.” Plenty of folks in their 20s and 30s are, of course, having babies and buy...
Thu, Aug 3 2017, 9:05 AM
The longer the post-election trade plays out (in 3 months, it will have been a year!), the flatter it looks. There have essentially been two similar...
Wed, Aug 2 2017, 5:14 PM
The chart in this morning's Day Ahead showed consolidation patterns (lower highs and higher lows) in both German Bunds and US Treasuries. For the l...
Wed, Aug 2 2017, 4:27 PM
Mortgage rates held steady today, keeping them in line with the best levels in just over a month. That means the best-qualified borrowers putting more...
