The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development have released New Residential Construction statistics for September 2010.
Housing Starts data estimates how much new residential real estate
construction occurred in the previous month. New construction means
digging has begun. Adding rooms or renovating old ones does not count,
the builder must be constructing a new home (can be on old foundation if
re-building). Although the report offers up single family housing, 2-4
unit housing, and 5 unit and above housing data, single family housing
is by far the most important as it accounts for 70-80% of total home
building.
Building Permits data provides an estimate on the
number of homes planning on being built. This indicator basically tracks
how much future construction activity we should expect to take place in
the future. This data is a part of Conference Board's Index of Leading
Economic Indicators.
Excerpts from the Release...
BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 539,000. This is 5.6 percent (±1.4%) below the revised August rate of 571,000 and is 10.9 percent (±2.3%) below the September 2009 estimate of 605,000.
Single-family authorizations in September were at a rate of 405,000; this is 0.5 percent (±1.3%)* above the revised August figure of 403,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 111,000 in September.
HOUSING STARTS
Privately-owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 610,000. This is 0.3 percent (±10.3%)* above the revised August estimate of 608,000 and is 4.1 percent (±12.0%)* above the September 2009 rate of 586,000.
Single-family housing starts in September were at a rate of 452,000; this is 4.4 percent (±13.9%)* above the revised August figure of 433,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 150,000.
HOUSING COMPLETIONS
Privately-owned housing completions in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 648,000. This is 7.3 percent (±14.3%)*above the revised August estimate of 604,000, but is 10.1 percent (±13.6%)* below the September 2009 rate of 721,000.
Single-family housing completions in September were at a rate of 501,000; this is 4.8 percent (±14.2%)* above the revised August rate of 478,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 138,000.
Plain and Simple: Housing Starts were much better than expected
but failed to match the August improvement. Housing Permits failed to
match the August uptick and were also much worse than expected.
Looking
deeper into the report....The modest improvement in housing starts was
led by a 19,000 unit increase in single family homes, multifamily unit
starts were down 17,000 annualized units. Weakness in building permits
data was also focused in the multifamily sector. Single family permits
rose by 2,000 annualized units while multifamily permits fell by 34,000
annualized units.