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Mortgage rates rose moderately today as weekend news headlines suggested some measure of de-escalation of nuclear tensions between the US and North Korea. To be sure, the news wasn't resoundingly conciliatory, but investors took solace in it nonetheless. In general, when headlines suggest the world is less likely to end by Monday, investors will be slightly more risk tolerant. One expression of risk tolerant trading in financial markets is to favor something like stocks as opposed to bonds. If there is net selling pressure on bonds, it creates net upward pressure on interest rates. This was the case this morning. In the afternoon, comments from NY Fed President Dudley (one of the 3 most important voices at the Fed) kept pressure on rates , which seemed willing to recover in the late morning
Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates rose moderately today as weekend news headlines suggested some measure of de-escalation of nuclear tensions between the US and North Korea. To be sure, the news wasn't resoundingly conciliatory, but investors took solace in it nonethel... (read more)
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Housing News
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About a month ago, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) seized on the May Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey (JOLTs) report as an indication that the tight construction labor market might be loosening. The report indicated a decline i... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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If you haven't seen/read my primers on various technical analysis topics, they're linked at certain points in the text below, and will be helpful in making the most of this post. If you'd like to read them in advance, here they are:
Basic Co... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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Time passes by, and we have one week until the first total solar eclipse crossing the US from coast to coast since 1918. Football fans know that the start of the season is fast approaching. There were 786 touchdown passes in the NFL last season, and ... (read more)
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Housing News
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Citing increased fraud affecting its education and testing procedures, the Nationwide Multistate Licensing System (NMLS) is implementing a new biometric password system for use by its instruction providers. NMLS, which handles state licensing of loan... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Bond markets ultimately rallied modestly following today's much-anticipated CPI data. This is a departure from recent norms as the last 3 reports have generated some of the biggest reactions in each of the past 3 months. Still, the re... (read more)
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