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Mortgage rates had a bad day. Even after a weaker reading on Retail Sales (something that normally helps), the bond market lost ground. Unfortunately, that's consistent with the rest of the week as investors have largely shunned bonds. Lower demand for bonds = higher rates. Perhaps "shunned" isn't the perfect word. Investors are indeed buying bonds, but there have been so many to buy this week that sellers have had to lower prices to get them out the door. That's a bit of an oversimplification of the how things actually work, but the dynamic of higher supply driving higher rates is at the heart of the issue. Beyond that, investors are nervous about buying bonds too aggressively in an environment where wages are rising, retail sales are holding steady at long-term highs, consumer sentiment is
Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates had a bad day. Even after a weaker reading on Retail Sales (something that normally helps), the bond market lost ground. Unfortunately, that's consistent with the rest of the week as investors have largely shunned bonds. Lower demand f... (read more)
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Housing News
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While applications for financing new home purchases declined in August, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) is predicting a bump in the month's new home sales. The MBA's Builder Applications Survey (BAS) data for August show mortgage applications ... (read more)
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Housing News
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Even as Hurricane Florence is pushing unprecedented levels of flood waters into North and South Carolina homes, CoreLogic is issuing estimates regarding the storm's dollar costs. Their analysis shows that insured property losses for both residential ... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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The question posed in the title is just a bit too big for us to cover in this humble "day ahead" post, but we can touch on a few key points. I just thought it was a good time to revisit it, given that 10yr yields are beginning the day once-agai... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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“Rob, the number of vendors at mortgage conferences seems to be growing. Any idea how many vendors (vs. lenders) there are?” I had no idea but turned to Ginger Bell who keeps up with such things. She replied, “We’ve counted mo... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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August was nice. September is mean... at least if you're a bond.
Investors wanted you in August when it was still unclear whether or not Turkey was going to be a big deal for the global financial system, whether the trade war would spiral... (read more)
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