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Mortgage rates edged up to 4-year highs with yesterday's bond market losses and things went from bad to worse today. Bond markets (which underlie and directly affect rates) are under extreme pressure today and have generally had a very bad September. Weakness in bonds equates to higher rates. So why are bonds weak? In part, this is weakness that was expected way back at the beginning of the year as the tax bill came to fruition and as economic data continued to suggest ongoing expansion. Given that the inflation/growth outlook was a whole lot worse in 2013 and early 2014 when 10yr Treasury yields briefly crested 3.0%, it stood to reason that those same yields would almost certainly need to move well over 3.0% this time around (inflation/growth are key factors in Treasury yields and rates in
Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates edged up to 4-year highs with yesterday's bond market losses and things went from bad to worse today. Bond markets (which underlie and directly affect rates) are under extreme pressure today and have generally had a very bad September.... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Remember early 2018 when the fear was compounded by this list of bad actors?
increased Treasury issuance to pay for the revenue shortfall in the new tax bill
the upside economic/inflation potential created by the new tax bill
A Federal Rese... (read more)
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Housing News
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Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes stabilized a bit in September. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), which has been wobbly in recent months, retained its August r... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Not to be confused with the Red Sea, which is an actual place, the sea of red in the title is merely a reference to general bias toward weakness in bond markets for however long you care to look back in time (provided you don't look back more than 2 ... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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TRID 2.0: mandatory compliance on 10/1 is only a few weeks away. Temenos has a primer on it , as does Qualia . The MBA had a piece on it . The NY MBA has a webinar next week. In Michigan the MMLA has a seminar on it this week. Hopefully everyone&rsqu... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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10yr yields briefly hit their highest levels since May 23rd this morning after one large trade started a snowball sell-off in Treasuries. Before that, modest weakness was already intact.
"A snowball sell-off to 4-month highs" sounds a bit m... (read more)
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consumerfinancemonitor.com
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