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Freddie Mac's economists see low interest rates continuing, at least through the end of next year . The company's Economic and Strategic Research Group's February Forecast, released on Thursday, also sees more economic growth, albeit at a slower rate, and a bounce back in the housing market. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.6 percent over 2018. After peaking last fall mortgage rates began to decline and by mid-February were at a 12-month low of 4.4 percent. Freddie Mac's economists expect the 30-year FRM to average 4.6 percent in 2019 before increasing to 4.9 percent in 2020. Housing starts averaged a 1.26 million rate in 2018. The forecast is for total starts to increase over the next two years with both single-family and multifamily units gaining each year. Total starts will
Rob Chrisman
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I like economists and math PhD.’s but there is some truth that “experts” have picked 8 of the last 4 recessions. While the U.S. economy is considered to be broadly healthy, as shown by yesterday’s GDP data, at some point they&... (read more)
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Housing News
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Freddie Mac's economists see low interest rates continuing, at least through the end of next year . The company's Economic and Strategic Research Group's February Forecast, released on Thursday, also sees more economic growth, albeit at a slower rate... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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The long-standing consolidation range in 10yr Treasury yields finally came under serious attack yesterday, with a big breakout to the upside. Any time these sorts of trendlines are broken--and especially if that break occurs on the last day o... (read more)
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Mortgage Rate Watch
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Mortgage rates surged again today as the underlying bond market continued to capitulate to selling pressure. Let's talk about what that means in plain English! Capitulation in financial markets refers to investors on one side of a trade gradually bec... (read more)
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Housing News
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The Census Bureau reported on Thursday that the national homeownership rate rose slightly in the fourth quarter of 2018 to 64.8 percent , up from 64.4 percent in the third quarter and 64.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017. The Census Bureau said... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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GDP doesn't usually move markets as clearly as it did today, but today was a bit of an anomaly. First off, we'd been waiting for this revision longer than normal due to the shutdown. Beyond that, it was a fairly sharp revision forecast ... (read more)
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