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Bonds Hold Ground Despite Unfriendly Econ Data
If there was a prime directive for the bond market last week, it was to sell off regardless of any counterargument from the economic data. The new week got off to a distinctly different start with stronger economic data only causing a temporary inconvenience for bonds. Both MBS and Treasuries were pushed back in line with Friday's weakest level, but both found support in the PM hours before going on to make it back to unchanged territory, or close to it. Volume was low and the volatility was small in the bigger picture, but at the very least, it was nice to see a different reaction than last week's default weakness.
Econ Data / Events
NY Fed Manufacturing
.20 vs 12 f'cast, 31.2 prev
S&P Services PMI
58.5 vs 55.7 f'cast, 56.1 prev
Market Movement Recap
09:46 AM Modestly stronger overnight, but giving up gains in domestic trading. MBS up 2 ticks and 10yr down less than 1 bp at 4.385
12:15 PM Trying to bounce after hitting weakest levels. MBS down 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 0.7bps at 4.399
03:28 PM Off the weakest level. MBS unchanged and 10yr 0.2bps higher at 4.394
MBS Commentary
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Bonds Hold Ground Despite Unfriendly Econ Data
If there was a prime directive for the bond market last week, it was to sell off regardless of any counterargument from the economic data. The new week got... (read more)
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Mortgage Rate Watch
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Last week wasn't great for mortgage rates. They moved higher on each of the 5 days. Moreover, there was a distinct lack of logical motivation from the economic data. In fact, on a few occasions, the data argued for lower rates only ... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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You don’t become cooler with age, but you do care progressively less about being cool, which is the only true way of being cool. This is called the “Geezer’s Paradox.” People change, and so do industries. Things are always changing in our business. F... (read more)
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