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Uneventful Drift Ahead of Friday's Monthly PCE Data
For the 3rd day in a row, the bond market logged a rather uneventful trading session ending with minimal change versus the previous trading day. All this despite the presence of several economic reports and Treasury auctions. If there was any reaction to this morning's data, it was slightly bond-friendly, but not enough to say it was anything other than random. The 7yr auction was a non-event, and stocks failed to offer any of the recent sort of spillover that has frequently made its way into the bond market. From here, the week's last big chance/risk of volatility is Friday morning's monthly PCE data.
Econ Data / Events
Jobless Claims
224k vs 225k f'cast, 225k prev
Continued Claims
1856k vs 1890k f'cast, 1881k prev
GDP Revision (Q4)
2.4 vs 2.3 prev
Market Movement Recap
09:06 AM Weaker overnight but improving after data. MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up half a bp at 4.358.
01:04 PM No major reaction to 7yr auction. MBS down 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 1.6bps at 4.368
03:21 PM Sideways still. MBS down 1 tick (0.03) and 10yr up 2.1bps at 4.374
MBS Commentary
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Uneventful Drift Ahead of Friday's Monthly PCE Data
For the 3rd day in a row, the bond market logged a rather uneventful trading session ending with minimal change versus the previous trading day. All t... (read more)
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Mortgage Rate Watch
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With the exception of Monday, which saw a medium-sized uptick in mortgage rates, the rest of the week has been fairly calm in terms of volatility. Unfortunately, the low-volatility movement has been exclusively higher in rate and it's starting to add... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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Here in San Diego at the MCT Exchange 2025, with nearly 500 registrants, the agenda’s keynote speaker and one of the panels was composed of Fannie and Freddie employees. Well, policy changes have caused representatives of F&F to cancel conference... (read more)
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