Pssst... Goldman Sachs is in buying jumbo mortgages. "Goldman has been stockpiling jumbo mortgages at a rate that far exceeds the buying activity of Bank of America, Barclays, Credit Suisse, RBS and other banks that are trying to revive their once-active conduit businesses." ABAlertGoldmanJumbos. I know that Goldman isn't in business for their health, and I am no "industry insider" but if I was I'd be wondering who picked these mortgages for Goldman to buy. Is Goldman going to short the deal? Is the company trying to do a deal prior to any QRM restrictions? Will Goldman retain any risk, and if so, will it be horizontal, vertical, or both? The person running the plan is from Bear Stearns, which left the industry after gaining a reputation for giving investors AAA subprime deals that used over-collateralization structures? What has Goldman done to improve the reps and warrants, and is there an enforcement mechanism? Inquiring minds want to know.
But the jumbo market has been heating up, and LO's have been forwarding sales pieces from many investors seeking them. SunTrust seems to be blanketing the e-mail airwaves with its Key Loan Program. Other investors, with intermediate ARM jumbo rates in the 4's, are touting their rates. Prospect Mortgage is touting its 5/1 ARM. Many investors are buying loans up to $2 million. And why not - many of these loans, with solid documentation and decent LTV's, are great credit risks. And they provide a good spread versus a bank's cost of funds (whatever they're paying you on your checking account...) In fact, it seems that most companies out there, especially in the wholesale channel, are advertising that they're hungry for product. MetLife is promoting a "huge reduction" to its FHA adjuster on <= 15-yr fixed loan sizes over $417,000.
The odds are, if the larger lenders are looking even more closely at cost/benefit figures, smaller lenders may want to also: WellsWatchesCosts
Monitoring expenses, and weighing them against returns, is never a bad thing. It is also worth noting that examining costs is occurring in spite of recent performance - per the FDIC, commercial banks and savings institutions insured by them "reported an aggregate profit of $29 billion in the first quarter of 2011, an $11.6 billion improvement (66.5 percent) from the $17.4 billion in net income the industry reported in the first quarter of 2010. This is the seventh consecutive quarter that earnings registered a year-over-year increase, although it is the sixth consecutive quarter where reduced provisions for loan losses helped to drive the improvement in earnings.
While we're on FDIC insured institutions, federally chartered Home Savings of America is currently looking to expand its branch network. The company is searching for seasoned purchase-focused branch managers who are interested in setting their own basis points per loan and running their own P&L with no start-up costs. And there is currently no NMLS licensing, and HSOA is looking for branches, and can lend in, all 50 states. Interestingly, reps have the ability to broker out loans to over 20 other banks. If this is something that might interest you, or you know someone looking to place their branch, contact Tony Bolding at Tbolding@myhsoa.com.
Monday I discussed appraisal news, and received several comments (none of which are paid, by the way!). Linda Stern, Senior Personal Finance Correspondent with Thomson Reuters, wrote a piece a while back that pertains to the appraisal situation. ReutersAppraisals
"Your analogy of 'customary and reasonable' appraiser fees to a 15-year old's allowance is an interesting one. One must read the fine print connected to C&R appraiser fees to understand the 'hall pass that the principal gave the student.' The rule gave creditors and their agents (AMCs) a presumption of compliance if the appraiser's fee was reasonably related to recent rates paid for appraisal services in the relevant geographic area - and in setting the fee - the creditor did not engage in any anticompetitive actions or violate a state or federal law. Very few lenders and their agents used the second presumption of compliance offered by the rule maker to validate a customary and reasonable fee through fee surveys. Solidifi's full market rate model provides lender clients with several tests to ensure compliance and our model allows appraisers to set their fee by service type without fee splits - rather than providing a schedule which appraisers were required to use. (Terry Aikin, taikin@Solidifi.com)
"StreetLinks uses an algorithm of
proximity, quality rating, service rating and capacity to assign appraisal
orders to the most qualified appraiser despite appraisers setting their own
fees. Because we only use local appraisers and allow them to set their own
fees, we can hold the appraiser to a higher standard of quality and service.
This ensures quality reports for lenders and a positive working environment for
appraisers, which results in greater client and appraiser retention. Our
products and services are used by thousands of mortgage bankers and appraisers
nationwide to simplify and improve everyday business operations." (For
more information, visit www.streetlinks.com.)
"Appraisers have a list of clients that pay a decent wage and give them
enough work so that when another company or AMC sends over work for me I just
ignore it because it is half the price of my regular banks. I trained a young
guy a few years who still has little experience and is happy to have clients,
and so the banks keep giving him the work because he does it for $200. His
thought was that after he gets some experience he will be able to raise his
rates but that has not happened yet but he keeps hoping. I told him as
soon as he raises his rates and pushes for it they will find another rookie
appraiser to do the job and push him out. Banks were paying appraisers a good
wage a few years back and we got into this mortgage mess with good appraisers
so why not pay them less?"
Another wrote, "I think one thing about the 'customary and reasonable
fees' is that typically the appraisal industry lobbying effort and institute is
relatively weak. They are not very centralized, and most appraisers don't know
each other and work alone. So who wants to step and protect the appraiser?
Where is the benefit in that, politically speaking?
"As an interesting side note, lenders fees - those junk fees we all love
to hate - have risen in the last couple of years because lenders argue that
their compliance and disclosure issues have added to their work load and costs.
Somehow the very same dynamic has not translated to the fees appraisers are
paid."
Mike Simmons with Axis Appraisal Management (http://www.axis-amc.com/) wrote, "It should
be noted that there are lenders and AMCs that already follow reasonable and
customary fees (AppraisalFees). And
it's a conceit to say there are no standards for an appraisal. Certainly there
are standards, but uniformity doesn't make standards; accuracy and market
knowledge do. This twisted thinking is helping drive value determination to the
lowest common denominator."
"The central issue continues to be a
lack of trust between appraisers and lenders. The rise of the AMC business
model to manage the relationship was not by accident. Lenders used to train and
retain large appraisal departments that were well suited to the existing
business conditions, current technology and speed of execution. Increasingly
the AMC model grew because of the labor intensive needs of appraisal
assignment, tracking, reviewing and delivery to loan origination systems that
had to be cost managed. The cost structure inside a lending institution was too
high; there were plenty of AMCs who could provide the service at a much lower
cost."
"Appraisers generally view AMCs and lenders as not having a particularly
good gauge of the complexity of an assignment; hence the issues with fees as
most experienced appraisers do not accept low fees for complex assignments.
This will only continue to be problematic as lenders are saddled with poor
performing loans and growing inventory of REOs. Lenders and asset managers will
question prior valuations and current valuations until they can find appraisers
they can trust to deliver insightful analysis - and not just cheap and quick
form filling."
Toll Brothers, the largest U.S. luxury-home builder, reported a
second-quarter loss that was bigger than analysts predicted: the net loss was
$20.8 million versus $40.4 million a year earlier. Contracts signed for Toll
Brothers homes rose to 879 from 866 a year earlier. The average price for the
new orders rose to $570,000 from $565,000 a year earlier. Revenue rose 8
percent to $319.7 million.
On the good news side, yesterday we learned that New Homes Sales increased by
7.3% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 323,000, better than
forecasts. Still, sales year over year are down over 23%. New Home Sales rose
8.3% in March, revised down from a previously estimated 11.1% increase, and the
month's supply stands at 6.5 versus 7.2, a slight improvement. Continuing on,
the MBA reported that mortgage applications last week were up for the fourth
consecutive week. Apps were +1.1% and the share of applicants seeking to
refinance a loan is still nearly 67% of total volume. READ MORE: Loan Demand Lags Interest Rate Rally. Several Reasons Cited
Yesterday's $35 billion sale of 2-yr notes didn't seem to have a huge impact on the market, although rates were slightly higher leading up to it. The focus was still more on the European debt problems, which certainly aren't going away any time soon. By day's end, 10-year notes closed up/better by about .125 at 3.13%, and MBS prices were roughly unchanged on a slight uptick in mortgage sales volume.
An older man, not in the best physical condition, asked the trainer in the gym, "I want to impress that beautiful girl. Which machine should I use?"
The trainer replied, "Use the ATM machine at the bank across the street."