This morning I head from Chicago to Orlando along with 74 million others (yearly). More fun with numbers: Although the MBA thinks we’ll fund about $1.7 trillion in 2023, weekly applications continue to reflect a declining market so let’s use $1.5 trillion to make the numbers easier. That averages out to $6 billion per business day of production. The Fed is looking to offload $13 billion in MBS from bank seizures. To keep things in perspective, that is only two days’ worth of production, certainly not enough to “swamp the boat.” Perspective is good, and here’s another example. Higher and volatile interest rates, uncertainty about property values, and stresses in some property markets have increased pressure on some loans and properties. Accordingly, MBA reported that commercial and multifamily mortgage delinquencies increased in the second quarter of 2023. Even with the uptick in delinquency rates, they remain at the lower end of historical ranges. Loans backed by properties (and property types) with stable cash flows, are faring better than those that may have seen declines in incomes. (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s is sponsored by SimpleNexus, an nCino Company, and award-winning developer of mortgage technology for modern lenders. Hear an interview with C2 Financial and Revest Homes’ Jim Black on how originators can win business in a tough rate environment.)

Lender and Broker Software, Products, and Services

Amidst changing QC requirements and increasing repurchase risk, lenders must invest in automation to drive efficiency and protect profits. The industry needs to shift its focus from crisis management to prevention with proactive QC. Not only does this approach set lenders up for success regardless of the origination environment, but it’s also a regulatory imperative now that Fannie Mae requires lenders to conduct pre-funding QC on a minimum of 10% of their production. ACES Quality Management empowers mortgage lenders and servicers to take control of their operations and embrace proactive QC. ACES seamlessly combines cutting-edge technology with comprehensive data analysis, giving mortgage professionals the tools they need to identify, anticipate and rectify potential issues in near real time. Learn why financial institutions and third-party providers rely on ACES.

“Looking for a full-service depository bank that will help you achieve your long-term growth plans? NexBank has been a dependable lender to our clients through all business cycles. We’ve been in the wholesale, correspondent, and warehouse lending business since 2008 and don’t compete with our clients for retail originations or refinancing business. Our long-tenured account executives, with an average of 24 years of industry experience, know our business well and are dedicated to helping you grow yours. This month, we celebrate the 15th anniversary of three professionals who have contributed to the success of our clients and NexBank. Lance Hackney with $4 billion closed volume; Brandi Horton with $4.5 billion closed volume; and Steve Smith with $5 billion closed volume. We support all channels: Wholesale, Non-Delegated & Delegated Correspondent with Portfolio, Conventional, FHA, and VA products, and offer Delegated & Emerging Banker Warehouse Lending and Escrow Deposit Management. Email Jon Hodge to reach an AE. Member FDIC. Equal Housing Lender. NMLS 672886.”

If you’re using Encompass® by ICE Mortgage Technology™ and you’re not using Fee Chaser to collect your upfront fees you it’s time to get your act together. Fee Chaser enables your borrowers to pay their upfront fees right from a text message. No more missed appraisal fees, no more paper checks, no more credit card numbers floating around on printed forms. Check out Fee Chaser here and they’ll text a demo right to your phone.

“Optimal Blue’s market-leading product, pricing and eligibility (PPE) engine has been the industry’s preferred choice for years because of our ability to serve our clients’ needs. With Optimal Blue’s open-API platform, our clients can access and use all of the functionality that exists in the Optimal Blue PPE via APIs, including creating customized rate quoting tools, fully automating lock events, and ensuring LOs have on-demand access to product and pricing where and when they need it. Reach out to Optimal Blue today to learn more about our open-API platform and how you can use it to unlock hidden efficiencies and improve your business!”

Government and Other Conforming Program News

Plaza Home Mortgage® reminded brokers of the ins and outs of getting government deals done. Here are five really great reasons to look to Plaza first for your government loans:

Manual underwriting may be an option for loans that do not get an approval through AUS-Total Scorecard (manual underwriting requirements apply). FHA and VA FICOs down to 550. USDA FICOs down to 600. Cash-out allowed on FHA and VA. Experienced Underwriting team that is willing to go the extra mile for your borrower.

Effective August 25th, the Attorney Authorization Approval (AAA) Matrix is available within Property 360™ on both the Claims and Excess Fees landing pages. The matrix remains accessible on the Excess Attorney Fee - Cost Guidelines webpage in the Single-Family portal.

Federal Housing Agencies issued a reminder for mortgage assistance for those impacted by the Maui Wildfires. In a joint statement, the Federal Housing pledged their offices' ongoing support for Hawaiian residents affected by the devastating wildfires on the Hawaiian island of Maui.

Hurricane season has begun, MBAF provided a reminder of MBA’s Disaster Recovery Resource Guide. This guide outlines what to do before and after a natural disaster, along with how to start, and then, work through the recovery process. Additionally, another resource available is Hurricane Help FAQs.

Fifth Third Correspondent Lending Communiqué 2023-6-9.1.23 has the following topics:

Final Document Reminder, as a reminder, Fifth Third expects Final Title Policies and Recorded Mortgages to be delivered within 90 days of the loan purchase date. Excessively aged documents will be assessed a fee per section 1.07 of the Correspondent Seller Guide.

Maximize Cash Out with Loan Stream Mortgage Non-QM Closed End Seconds. Program highlights include clients can Access Equity with our Non-QM CES Cash Out Refi: 90% CLTV Full Doc, 85% CLTV Bank Statements, 80% CLTV Investment Properties and 75% CLTV DSCR. Also available on Purchase, Rate/Term Refinance & Cash Out.

Chaos has a way of bringing on unexpected opportunities. Plaza Home Mortgage®. Co-President and COO, Michael Fontaine, shares with National Mortgage News how Plaza navigates in the evolving wholesale landscape. From diverse strategies to tapping into improved technology plus Plaza’s training offerings to help amplify broker clients’ strengths, take a look.

Plaza Home Mortgage® Jumbo opportunities keep getting better, now offering 2-1 and 1-0 Temporary Buydowns on its new Jumbo Elite loan program. Get in touch with your Account Executive for the qualifying details. Explore the complete range of Jumbo solutions Plaza offers for your borrowers.

Capital Markets

Why do those in the mortgage space watch the 10-year U.S. Treasury note? Historically, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has been considered a key benchmark for mortgage rates. Mortgage rates, however, are not actually based on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note (as is commonly believed). MCT released a blog, "How the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Impacts Mortgage Rates" that serves as an excellent primer for how mortgage interest rates respond to moves of the benchmark U.S. Treasury note. The piece discusses why mortgage rates and Treasury yields move together and how bonds are influenced by Treasury yields. With a trusted capital markets partner like MCT, you can rest assured that you will be notified of how economic trends could have the potential to impact your business. Sign up for MCT’s newsletter to receive educational articles like this one and learn more about variables that impact mortgage rates.

In rate news, even though inflation in August showed a larger than expected increase in core CPI (actual 0.3 percent when it was expected at 0.2 percent), it showed ongoing improvement on a year-over-year basis, enough to prevent any significant change in Fed rate hike expectations. The implied likelihood of a rate hike in December sits around 46 percent.

Digging into the numbers, gasoline prices contributed to nearly half of the increase to the headline number, rising nearly 11 percent over the month, and that inevitably had some trickle-through impact on the core reading, as transportation services were driven higher by energy prices. The 3.7 percent year-over-year rate of CPI is still well above the Fed's 2 percent target, reflecting stickiness that, while probably not compelling enough to the Fed to raise rates further at this point as the trend in inflation has downshifted since the spring, will certainly keep the Fed in a "higher for longer" mindset. Looking forward to the FOMC meeting next week, another pause in rate hikes is already baked in, so the importance is actually much more about rate decisions in November, December, and January.

Today’s economic calendar is under way with several releases. Events kicked off with the ECB releasing its latest monetary policy decision (+.25 percent, as expected, in an effort to continue to tame inflation) followed by ECB head Lagarde’s press conference. The U.S. calendar is also under way with retail sales (+.6 percent for August, much higher than expected), the Producer Price Index (+.7 percent, much stronger than expected, core +.3 percent), and weekly jobless claims (220k, 1.688 continuing). Later today brings July business inventories, Treasury announcing the sizes for next week’s reopened 20-year bonds and 10-year TIPS auctions, and Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Markets Survey. We begin Thursday with Agency MBS prices worse a few 32nds from Wednesday evening, the 10-year yielding 4.27 after closing yesterday at 4.25 percent, and the 2-year at 5.02 after this slew of economic news.

Employment

“Foundation Mortgage is rapidly expanding after several record months and is looking for top tier experienced Non-QM account executives to join our team. We have a vast array of non-QM products to choose from and common-sense underwriting. We make exceptions that other lenders won’t. If you are looking to join an experienced team that knows how to get loans done contact Dean Ayres.”

On the heels of the successful acquisition of Platinum Home Mortgage Corp, Planet continues its appetite for retail acquisition by looking to consolidate several independent bankers into its organization. If your firm is seeking better economies of scale or a strategic exit, let's talk. With our strong multichannel support, speedy turnarounds, dedicated recruitment, and customer retention, Planet will give you a remarkable edge. Please contact Lee Gross to find out what Planet could do for you. All inquiries will be held in strict confidence. Confidentiality will also be honored for single MLOs or smaller sales teams who contact VP of Talent Peter Briggs or 435-709-6287.