Fri, Dec 18 2009, 11:10 AM
Fri, Dec 18 2009, 8:58 AM
Treasuries gave back some gains overnight. Several explanations could be offered but I think the most relevant observation continues to be "selling in...
Fri, Dec 18 2009, 5:39 PM
Fri, Dec 18 2009, 2:41 PM
Thu, Dec 17 2009, 11:29 AM
It got a little choppy after the Philly Fed Index release was much better than expected, I actually almost issued an alert because I noticed activity ...
Thu, Dec 17 2009, 9:11 AM
Yields are lower this morning following a worse than expected read on the labor market. This is most likely a function of SHORT COVERING after the dat...
Thu, Dec 17 2009, 5:32 PM
Thu, Dec 17 2009, 4:08 PM
Both benchmark Treasuries and "rate sheet influential" MBS coupons fared well today, albeit in light volume but that is neither here nor there if you ...
Thu, Dec 17 2009, 2:04 PM
Wed, Dec 16 2009, 10:37 AM
I have been referring to "Real Money Buyers" on a consistent basis lately.
Heading into year end these "real money accounts" have been the most act...
Wed, Dec 16 2009, 8:31 AM
Consumer level inflation was "on the screws" while Building Permits were better than expected. 10s havent made much progress in either direction after...
Wed, Dec 16 2009, 5:10 PM
Wed, Dec 16 2009, 3:30 PM
Wed, Dec 16 2009, 2:24 PM
The FOMC's most meaningful tweak has been an upgrade to the labor market - "economic activity has continued to pick up and that the deterioration in t...
Wed, Dec 16 2009, 1:16 PM
I do believe a Fed Statement that highlights SUBSTANTIAL RESOURCE SLACK and STILL WEAK INFLATIONARY PRESSURES will be beneficial to the bond market......
Tue, Dec 15 2009, 11:04 AM
10s have made a move to the 3.62% pivot point, if you recall both 3.57% and 3.62% were out targets following the Labor report bond market selloff. Tha...
Tue, Dec 15 2009, 8:33 AM
Tue, Dec 15 2009, 5:50 PM
Lawmakers aiming to speed development of U.S. covered bonds on Tuesday positioned the securities as an alternative or supplement to mortgage funding p...
Tue, Dec 15 2009, 5:34 PM
"No one knows what tomorrow's FOMC statement will contain, and no one knows how friendly or unfriendly to any given market it would need to be to gaug...
Tue, Dec 15 2009, 4:01 PM
Tue, Dec 15 2009, 1:46 PM
Mon, Dec 14 2009, 12:03 PM
This is a normal occurrence ahead of FOMC meetings, especially in December when the majority of market professionals have their "window dressing" fund...
Mon, Dec 14 2009, 8:09 AM
All in all, you will notice a somewhat bearish outlook for mortgage rates is embedded in the above commentary...ie a steeper yield curve and inflation...
Mon, Dec 14 2009, 5:18 PM
Mon, Dec 14 2009, 4:07 PM
Mon, Dec 14 2009, 1:39 PM
Fri, Dec 11 2009, 11:25 AM
Fri, Dec 11 2009, 8:27 AM
After a slow week of economic data, market participants were treated to a better than expected read on November Retail Sales this morning.Led by a 6.0...
Fri, Dec 11 2009, 5:04 PM
In exactly two weeks of trading, MBS have moved from all time highs on November 30th to 101-08 at close today, the same levels from the beginning of N...
Fri, Dec 11 2009, 3:27 PM
Fri, Dec 11 2009, 1:33 PM
Thu, Dec 10 2009, 11:59 AM
The Treasury will announce the auction results of the $13 billion long bond reopening at 1pm. Yesterday's weak 10yr auction implies one of two things ...
Thu, Dec 10 2009, 8:31 AM
After moving higher overnight, mostly at the start of the London trading session, "rate sheet influential" benchmark rates ticked up a few bps and the...
Thu, Dec 10 2009, 5:00 PM
Thu, Dec 10 2009, 2:48 PM
Thu, Dec 10 2009, 1:04 PM
JUST LIKE YESTERDAY, THIS AUCTION WAS NOT MET WITH STRONG DEMAND.....something many were expecting, thus rates have barely budged.
Wed, Dec 9 2009, 12:41 PM
"Rate sheet influential" MBS prices plummeted after the auction results. "Rate sheet influential" MBS prices plummeted after the auction results.
Wed, Dec 9 2009, 11:03 AM
As we've seen so often, markets tend to trade along pre-existing ranges toward some sort of inflection point. An oversimplified way to think about th...
Wed, Dec 9 2009, 8:39 AM
101-30 provided support yesterday, something we expect to continue unless the 10yr trades above 3.42%...or.....if the lack of MBS liquidity that set i...
Tue, Dec 8 2009, 11:07 AM
Short-term and long-term charts are telling two decidedly different stories today. If one were to look only at the short-term chart, we would indeed ...
Tue, Dec 8 2009, 9:00 AM
Rate sheet influential MBS coupons are starting out the session in FACEMELTING status. The FN 4.0 is +0-18 at 99-23 yielding 4.035% and the FN 4.5 is ...
Tue, Dec 8 2009, 5:33 PM
Taking things one day at a time, we'd have to point out that we're once again closing over 102-00... For any you're floating into tomorrow, pay close...
Tue, Dec 8 2009, 4:04 PM
Heading into 5pm "going out" marks, trading flows in the agency MBS market are few and far between. The FN 4.0 is+0-04 at 99-09 yielding 4.099%. The F...
Tue, Dec 8 2009, 2:02 PM
As benchmark TSY rates re-test higher yield levels, trading flows in the TBA MBS market have fizzled out. We went from every offer getting lifted to d...
Mon, Dec 7 2009, 11:32 AM
In an orderly sell off, traders test individual price levels to determine what the market is willing to accept/not accept. This "probing" combined wi...
Mon, Dec 7 2009, 8:35 AM
After moving outside the range in holiday trading conditions in the week before, rates backed-up in a hurry last week as traders took profits, unwound...
MBS Market Alerts
