Recap of Previous Session:
- healthy rally for MBS and tsy's with 4.5 fannies up 16 ticks (half a point)
- All this despite better than expected econ data
- Internals of some of the reports not giving equities what they're looking for, despite ostensibly bullish headlines
- In other words please MG? For instance, the decline in Jobless Claims is offset by the increase in continuing claims
- Break it down MG, it's early... No prob... Ahem... Who cares how good the headline jobless claims number is if there are still over 6 million people filing each week?
- negative revisions to previous econ data were also cited as contributing to the bond rally
The AM So Far and Day Ahead
- Right out of the gate, bonds corrected to the range implied by the bulk of yesterdays volume.
- That's about 8 ticks down in tsy's and 4 ticks down in MBS. No big deal yet, but...
- some stability is needed to solidify yesterday's gains in the form of better rate sheets today
- Too much chopitility this AM and soon we'd start to see that uncertainty premium hurt ysp
- quadruple witching = no econ data = headlines have more impact than normal
- Here's the chart... A bit of a bumpy take off, but at least the old bird's in the air. Buckle up, hope for the best, and we'll get back to you on the intercom if you needed