The Treasury has successfully auctioned $32 billion 7 year notes
YIELDS
High 3.345 pct
Median 3.290 pct
Low 3.200 pct
PRICE/ACCEPTANCES
Price 99.411474
Accepted at high 55.69 pct
Bid-to-cover ratio 2.72
AMOUNTS TENDERED AND ACCEPTED (dollars)
Total accepted 32,000,037,100
Total public bids tendered 86,912,515,100
Competitive bids accepted 31,947,974,000
Noncompetitive bids accepted 52,063,100
Fed add-ons 948,398,600
Primary Dealer Tendered 63,093,000,000
Primary Dealer Accepted 15,563,767,500
Primary Dealer Hit Rate 24.7% of what they bid on
Primary Dealer Total Award 48.6% of total auction
Direct Bidder Tendered 3,901,000,000
Direct Bidder Accepted 2,113,784,500
Direct Bidder Hit Rate 54.2% of what they bid on
Direct Bidder Total Award 6.6% of total auction
Indirect Bidder Tendered 19,866,452,000
Indirect Bidder Accepted 14,270,422,000
Direct Bidder Hit Rate 71.8% of what they bid on
Direct Bidder Total Award 44.6% of total auction
Another auction done. Another better than bad showing for duration. The 2.72 bid to cover ratio is very close to the average of the last 4 auctions at 2.74. The tail--the amount by which the yield exceeded the WI yield--was close to the same as the last auction at 3.5bps. Indirect participation was well below the 4 cycle average of 62.5% at 44.6%. The initial reaction in the bond market has been positive, and looks to be driving TSY yields back towards range bound morning levels seen before a pre-auction concession.
As always, we expect volatility post-auction. After profit-taking weakened MBS this AM, it's too soon to tell if those losses will be recaptured. The auction is strong ENOUGH that it could go either way, but the potential is certainly there for losses to be recaptured and for screens to be green by the time the lights go down in the city.