Just wanted to get you the basics, and let you know the first move for MBS has been to the upside, as tsy's have improved a little as well. Stay tuned for any changes to that outlook however as post auction tends toward volatility
7-YEAR NOTES
YIELDS
High 3.078 pct
Median 3.050 pct
Low 2.900 pct
PRICE/ACCEPTANCES
Price 99.512216
Accepted at high 9.60 pct
Bid-to-cover ratio 2.98
AMOUNTS TENDERED AND ACCEPTED (dollars)
Total accepted 32,000,012,700
Total public bids tendered 95,420,168,700
Competitive bids accepted 31,964,824,000
Noncompetitive bids accepted 35,188,700
Fed add-ons 786,456,600
Primary Dealer Tendered 65,176,000,000
Primary Dealer Accepted 13,569,000,000
Primary Dealer Hit Rate 20.8% of what they bid on
Primary Dealer Total Award 42.4% of total auction
Direct Bidder Tendered 12,482,680,000
Direct Bidder Accepted 5,505,680,000
Direct Bidder Hit Rate 31.1% of what they bid on
Direct Bidder Total Award 17.2% of total auction
Indirect Bidder Tendered 17,726,300,000
Indirect Bidder Accepted 12,890,144,000
Indirect Bidder Hit Rate 72.7% of what they bid on
Indirect Bidder Total Award 40.3% of total auction
NOTE DETAILS
Issued date March 01, 2010
Maturity date Feb. 28, 2017
CUSIP number 912828MS6
UPDATED AT 2PM
The initial move after the auction results came out was to the upside for both MBS and Tsy’s. But the better-than-average results were not quite enough to get either market through some overhead resistance (keep in mind that’s “underfoot” resistance if we’re looking at YIELD as we do on treasury charts).
As such, 4.5’s look to be getting the wind taken out of their sails right around the 101-00 level whereas treasuries are getting capped by the long-term, and quite epic 3.62 yield which was basically the highest level reached throughout nearly all of Q309.
So with that, the likelihoods for reprices for the better are decreasing, and attention turns to that with which we’re so familiar: “range-tending.” Meaning, we’re now decidedly back in the days range suggested by highest and lowest levels of the day so far. If we move out of that range, it may be time to perk up and watch out for increasing risks of reprices for the worse.