Considering that today's trading range wasn't meaningfully wider than Friday's AND that closing prices look like they'll fall inside Friday's range, today has turned out to be a relatively drama-free month-end/quarter-end trading session. That didn't look like it would be the case as Fannie 3.5s made a dash from the highs to the lows at 9:30am, but they recovered into the afternoon.
Economic data didn't play a big role today as bond markets were generally moving in the opposite direction from that suggested by the data. Bigger considerations included quarter-end trading needs and corporate bond market hedging needs (large firms offering corporate debt frequently use Treasuries to hedge their interest rate risk).
Since the 3pm Treasury Pit close, bonds have been slipping a bit, but this is more noticeable in MBS. MBS Live members may see a late-day reprice alert, though it would only apply to a select few of the most sensitive lenders.
MBS | FNMA 3.0 98-23 : +0-03 | FNMA 3.5 102-27 : +0-03 | FNMA 4.0 106-02 : +0-03 |
Treasuries | 2 YR 0.4607 : +-0.0003 | 10 YR 2.5232 : -0.0088 | 30 YR 3.3499 : -0.0131 |
Pricing as of 6/30/14 3:49PMEST |