Treasuries began the overnight session moving to even higher yields than those seen on Friday afternoon.  Just after 4:30am, German Bunds put in a strong bounce on their high yield ceiling from Friday and Treasuries reluctantly followed.  10yr yields made it back to 'unchanged' territory by 8am. 

MBS opened right in line with Friday's latest levels and improved out of the gate.  The 8:30am Empire State Manufacturing data was stronger than expected, but had no ill effects on bond markets.  The 9:15am Industrial Production data was much weaker than expected, and possibly had an effect on bond markets, but it's easy to be skeptical considering the trend was already improving and other economic data has been so inconsequential recently.

Bottom line, it looks like we're in the midst of another modest correction following another push higher in the generally ugly September trend.  Markets are perhaps ready to hunker down for the much-anticipated FOMC events on Wednesday afternoon.  Keep in mind though, the last time we saw  this sort of correction (last Thursday), bond markets were doing well in the morning only to turn negative in the afternoon.  If that happens again, it wouldn't be a big surprise.  If it doesn't happen, it would further confirm that notion of "hunkering down" ahead of FOMC.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
97-24 : +0-05
FNMA 3.5
101-18 : +0-04
FNMA 4.0
104-30 : +0-03
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5480 : -0.0160
10 YR
2.5960 : -0.0180
30 YR
3.3420 : -0.0090
Pricing as of 9/15/14 12:11PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:40AM  :  Bond Markets Manage Token Improvement After Mixed Data

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. AUG INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT -0.1 PCT, FIRST DECLINE SINCE JAN 2014, (CONSENSUS +0.3 PCT), VS JULY +0.2 PCT (PREV +0.4 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - NY FED'S EMPIRE STATE EMPLOYMENT INDEX AT 3.26 IN SEPT VS 13.64 IN AUG"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- NY FED'S EMPIRE STATE INDEX 27.54 IN SEPTEMBER (CONSENSUS 16.00) VS 14.69 IN AUGUST"
Jeff Anderson  :  "Our boy Liesman saying rates will be low for a while thinking we're at the highs of the current range and will head back lower due to Europe and inflation data. Sounds familiar, JT."
Victor Burek  :  "they will only change that language at a meeting with a presser, so its this one or the dec one"
John Tassios  :  "Good analysis MG on your commentary. My own view, FED will keep the " considerable Period " clause in there not to upset apple cart too much. With QE ending, there is still a risk of increased or unknown market volatility. Removal of the phrase may make it worse. "