Treasuries were stronger overnight as substantially downgraded Eurozone growth forecasts pulled yields lower.  Interestingly (or 'suspiciously') enough, there was a big block trade in Treasury futures (rare for that time of night) less than 2 hours before the forecasts were released.  Either way, both the block trade and the forecasts were positive for Treasuries.  MBS consequently opened near yesterday's highs.

Gains reversed heading into 930am opening bell for stocks.  This has been a frequent turning point for overnight gains lately, but it could have been exacerbated by continued corporate debt hedging activities (big firms issuing their own bonds often sell Treasuries as part of their hedging/pricing process).

A Reuters exclusive on strife within the European Central Bank helped get bond markets back on track around 10:20am.  That said, 10yr yields had already put in a solid technical bounce just under 2.35.  They're currently back down to 2.32 and Fannie 3.5s are up 3 ticks on the day at 103-11.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
99-31 : +0-04
FNMA 3.5
103-11 : +0-03
FNMA 4.0
106-05 : +0-02
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5100 : -0.0070
10 YR
2.3210 : -0.0250
30 YR
3.0310 : -0.0360
Pricing as of 11/4/14 12:17PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:38AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Bonds Weaken Heading Into Stock Open; Small, Specific Reprice Risk

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Andrew Horowitz  :  "2.34 keeps trying to fight the good fight"
Matthew Graham  :  "Agreed, and not just because "green is good," but it would also reinforce the importance of 2.34+ as an inflection point."
Andrew Horowitz  :  "be nice to see even a slight reversal in here"
Sung Kim  :  "this has been going on for about a week now? overnight strength then weakness in to US equity open"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- US SEPT TRADE DEFICIT $43.03 BLN, BIGGEST SINCE MAY (CONSENSUS $40.0 BLN) VS AUG DEFICIT $39.99 BLN (PREV $40.11 BLN)"
Frank Hanna  :  "Gm all. I like the early movement, let's hope it carries through and lasts through our session. "