On Friday, European considerations pulled bond markets into weaker territory after a draft of the bank stress test results showed numerous banks with capital shortfalls.  That might sound like something that would be positive for bond markets, but it was one of those headlines that was "not as bad as feared."   

Over the weekend, the official stress test results essentially confirmed the draft.  In other words, they weren't as bad as expected.  In fact, considering the fact that none of the core countries had banks with capital shortfalls, it was actually fairly risk-positive.

When markets are feeling risk-positive, stock prices and bond yields tend to rise, and they did precisely that at first.  Then Europe turned on a dime when a widely-followed German report on business conditions showed a marked decline, essentially serving as a reminder that it takes more than solvent banks to promote growth.

Core European bond markets led the charge back into positive territory for overnight trading in US Treasuries.  As a result, MBS and Treasuries were able to open right in line with Friday's latest levels and maintain a positive trend all morning.  Unsurprisingly, as the trading day winds down in Europe, domestic markets look to be reconsidering their morning trends.  While bonds are still in positive territory (and stocks in negative territory), things are leveling off for now.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-13 : +0-04
FNMA 3.5
103-21 : +0-06
FNMA 4.0
106-11 : +0-06
Treasuries
2 YR
0.3780 : -0.0078
10 YR
2.2520 : -0.0138
30 YR
3.0300 : -0.0108
Pricing as of 10/27/14 12:14PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:14AM  :  Modest Gains This Morning After Overnight Weakness

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matt Hodges  :  "QE is done, increase in FF rate is data dependent.... blah, blah, blah."
Andy Pada, Jr.  :  "what is the conventional wisdom re: Fed announcement?"
Kenneth Crute  :  "AP as retail bank, 3.875 with a small lender credit or 3.75 today, if that helps "
Jason Anker  :  "depending on fico and lTV sure. "
Andy Pada, Jr.  :  "on true jumbo, are you guys seeing 3.875% on 30 YR correspondent"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. SEPT PENDING HOME SALES +1.0 PCT FROM SEPT 2013, FIRST YEAR-OVER-YEAR RISE IN 11 MONTHS-NAR"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. SEPT PENDING HOME SALES INDEX +0.3 PCT (CONSENSUS +0.5 PCT) TO 105.0 - NAR"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- MARKIT U.S. SERVICES SECTOR PMI AT LOWEST SINCE APRIL"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - MARKIT U.S. SERVICES SECTOR FLASH PMI FOR OCTOBER AT 57.3 (CONSENSUS 58.0) VS FINAL 58.9 IN SEPTEMBER"
Hugh W. Page  :  "Couple of articles in WSJ today about bonds bears being wrong due to the darkening global economic outlook and other reasons why interest rates will stay lower longer."
Frank Hanna  :  "Europe is a mess. Hope 10yr slides in this"