Overnight events amounted to nothing more than noise for US bond markets.  Tough talk from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi did more to help European bond markets earlier in the overnight hours, but Treasuries improved somewhat.  The bigger disruption came after China's central bank announced a rate cut.  Whether or not the disruption was warranted is another matter. 

Headlines with words like "surprise rate cut" and the like have understandable shock value.  It certainly sounded like big news at first and markets responded that way at first.  But the announcement was quickly qualified as something less dramatic than the headlines suggested (WSJ summed it up well with the headline: China Rate Cut Surprises, Doesn't Overwhelm). 

Treasuries were weaker at first, but never went higher than yesterday's highs.  By the time MBS opened, there wasn't much weakness left for bond markets, and we're now at the best levels of the day. 

ALL of this so-called "movement" isn't really going anywhere though--at least not yet.  10yr yields continue to be "two point three something" and  have been for almost every waking moment in the month of November.  My biggest concern now is that I won't have anything to write for tonight's recap because nothing is really happening or changing, and there are so many ways to write about bond markets being flat.  That said, there are far worse concerns to have--especially when rates are at their best levels in nearly a month. 


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-08 : +0-05
FNMA 3.5
103-20 : +0-03
FNMA 4.0
106-13 : +0-03
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5090 : +0.0000
10 YR
2.3190 : -0.0190
30 YR
3.0280 : -0.0260
Pricing as of 11/21/14 12:50PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:57AM  :  Bond Markets Highly Determined to Remain Flat

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Jason Harris  :  "MG...simple perspective but makes good sense....rest of the world a yer or two behind us..."
Hugh W. Page  :  "Obviously the world as a whole is still quite fragile US included. We're just the least worst of them all. Financial experimentation will continue as far as the eye can see . . . the question is will something eventually work or will something blow us up. "
Matthew Graham  :  "Maybe I'm oversimplifying it in my mind, but I view it as US=epicenter, with shocks and recovery steps radiating outward "
Victor Burek  :  "slowing economy, race to weaken currency"
Andy Pada, Jr.  :  "coordination?"
Ted Rood  :  "Awesome Day Ahead, MG."
Sung Kim  :  "Yes Gus. That is interesting. "
Gus Floropoulos  :  "interesting how China cuts rates & EU ABS purchases are happening now after US QE has ended"
Matthew Graham  :  "mostly"
Andy Pada, Jr.  :  "so all about Europe?"
Matthew Graham  :  "always overblown "
Andy Pada, Jr.  :  "another anchor to which our TSYs will be tethered?"
Andy Pada, Jr.  :  "any thoughts on China?"