With the 10yr auction coming up in about an hour, yields find themselves slightly higher than yesterday's latest levels.  Their first move overnight was to a new 19-month low of 1.864.  That served as a cue for many bond traders to book profits on previous bets that rates would move lower.

In fact, bond markets made it to 8am in noticeably stronger territory.  MBS opened nearly a quarter of a point higher (factoring out the effect of the roll) as a result.  Additionally, MBS are holding their ground more effectively than Treasuries.  Part of the reason is MBS-specific as the Fed is buying Fannie and Freddie 30yr coupons today.  There's also some Treasury-specific weakness as markets tend to build in some "concession" ahead of the auction.

There haven't been any significant economic reports to move markets.  That might not initially seem like the case depending on where you get your news.  There are far too many stories giving credit to obscure and inconsequential reports for today's market movement.  To be clear, IBD Economic Optimism, NFIB Business Confidence, and Gallup Economic Confidence are not market movers.  They all reported this morning, and there are news stories out there saying things like "bonds retreat after such and such report," but in reality, there is only coincidental correlation between the reports and movement that was already underway in bond markets.  The biggest moves of the day were completely independent of data.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
102-14 : +0-02
FNMA 3.5
105-02 : +0-02
FNMA 4.0
106-26 : -0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5450 : -0.0040
10 YR
1.9220 : +0.0130
30 YR
2.5150 : +0.0200
Pricing as of 1/13/15 12:11PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:26AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Bond Markets on the Run after Treasuries hit 19-Month Lows Overnight

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Michael Ullmann  :  "I cant offer a full refi to my because of EPO issues. So I am hoping they wait 210 days for me to be able to streamline them"
Tim McNerney  :  "MU I have some past clients looking to do the streamline but I am with you...just had two close in late december and now THEY have to wait 210 days...!!!"
Michael Ullmann  :  "anyone concerned about FHA clients that just closed being pushed to do a full credit-qualifying refi right after 1/26? I have already reached out to past clients that have greater than 210 days passed since closing"
Ted Rood  :  "Hmmm, WSJ says refis could pick up. Wish I'd realized that sooner."
Ben Biscoe  :  "streamlines do not appear to subject to loan limits"
Ben Biscoe  :  "MD & SV, found this ML, see page 2 http://mndne.ws/1zXxlua"
Mike Drews  :  "Scott---are you sure...I was told the opposite by an underwriter yesterday"
Scott Valins  :  "Yes sung. Loan limits don't apply when streamlining"
Matthew Graham  :  ""One more point of order: Fannie 3.0 MBS are VISUALLY another 8 ticks lower than their actual price movement. That's due to the roll. In other words, Fannie 3.0s are at 102-07 currently. That price is based on a February coupon. The day-over-day change, however, compares that February price to yesterday's January coupon price. If it was a Feb to Feb comparison, we'd only be down 2 ticks.""