"Inside day" is a good little piece of market jargon. It refers to a day of trading where prices, yields, or whatever you want to chart fall INSIDE the high and low from the previous day. So quite simply, if the orange lines in the chart below (today's range) fall inside the white lines (yesterday's range), it's an inside day.
As you can see, that wasn't even a close call today, and in fact trading levels held inside the post-FOMC range from 2pm-2:30pm! When an entire day's range falls within 30 minutes of movement from the previous day, markets are not trending. They are consolidating or less frequently, truly conflicted about the next move.
It's possible that bond markets are conflicted here, but after today, they'd have have to lose some serious ground to prove that. Reason being, both MBS and Treasuries had easy technical bounces before breaking into pre-FOMC levels. That suggests some sort of positional barrier at those levels. That's net positive for the rest of the month... so tomorrow.
MBS | FNMA 3.0 102-32 : -0-03 | FNMA 3.5 105-12 : -0-02 | FNMA 4.0 106-30 : -0-01 |
Treasuries | 2 YR 0.5200 : +0.0550 | 10 YR 1.7560 : +0.0370 | 30 YR 2.3190 : +0.0310 |
Pricing as of 1/29/15 4:45PMEST |