This morning's trading has been refreshingly straightforward.  In fact, it's about as straightforward as it gets.  Bond markets are clearly quite focused on Friday's NFP results, and reacted to today's economic data accordingly.  The slightly weaker ADP reading made for modest, but immediate gains.  Volumes spiked right at 8:15 as well, so we know this isn't a case of the 8:20am CME open being confused for an ADP reaction.

The ADP data was only good for so much of a positive adjustment though.  10yr yields hit resistance at 2.095 and Fannie 3.0s topped out at 101-13.  The ISM Services data told a different story, with the employment component rising to 56.4 from 51.6.  Once again, the reaction was immediate and solely attributable to the data. 

Apart from taking bonds in a less friendly direction, this move was also a bit bigger.  10's and MBS both moved to their weakest domestic session levels of the week (Treasuries were a bit weaker in the overnight session this morning).  On a positive note, both have found support and are back near unchanged.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-09 : -0-01
FNMA 3.5
104-12 : +0-01
FNMA 4.0
106-19 : +0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.6740 : -0.0082
10 YR
2.1220 : +0.0000
30 YR
2.7150 : -0.0020
Pricing as of 3/4/15 12:38PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
10:23AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Under Pressure After ISM Data; Modest Negative Reprice Risk
9:33AM  :  Bonds Hit Snooze Button Ahead of ISM Data

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - ISM NON-MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT INDEX 56.4 IN FEB VS 51.6 IN JAN"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PRICES PAID INDEX 49.7 IN FEB VS 45.5 IN JAN"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM NON-MANUFACTURING BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDEX 59.4 IN FEB (CONSENSUS 61.0) VS 61.5 IN JAN"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - ISM REPORT ON U.S. NON-MANUFACTURING SECTOR SHOWS PMI 56.9 IN FEBRUARY (CONSENSUS 56.5) VS 56.7 IN JANUARY"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- EVANS SEES INFLATION BELOW 2 PCT UNTIL END OF 2018"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- EVANS SAYS HAS 'SERIOUS CONCERNS' ABOUT EXCESSIVELY LOW INFLATION"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- FED'S EVANS CALLS FOR PATIENCE, NO RATE HIKES UNTIL 2016"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- REUTERS CONSENSUS FORECAST FOR ADP PAYROLL CHANGE FOR FEB WAS FOR INCREASE OF 220,000 JOBS"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ADP NATIONAL EMPLOYMENT REPORT SHOWS U.S. EMPLOYMENT INCREASED BY 212,000 PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS IN FEBRUARY"