The most notable feature of today's trading session has been the weaker than expected components of the Durable Goods data.  In other words, the headline was better than expected, but the internals were weaker.  Specifically, the internal component that factors out defense spending and aircraft was -.5 percent weaker versus forecasts for a 0.3 percent improvement.  Additionally, the previous reading of that component was revised to -2.2 from -1.1.

This gave bonds a boost at the outset.  Both Treasuries and MBS moved into positive territory after beginning the day slightly weaker.  The gains have been mostly maintained amid quiet Friday trading conditions. 

The afternoon presents some headwinds though.  I alluded to these in this morning's commentary, saying that opportunistic traders may try to get ahead of next week's corporate bond issuance.  It's anticipated to be another robust week for corporate debt--at least ahead of the Fed--and corporate debt makes for some pressure on Treasuries and MBS.  We may already be seeing the early stages of the potential afternoon pressure as bonds have given back some of the gains starting around 11:30.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
102-10 : +0-05
FNMA 3.5
105-03 : +0-04
FNMA 4.0
106-31 : +0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5200 : -0.0120
10 YR
1.9280 : -0.0260
30 YR
2.6230 : -0.0250
Pricing as of 4/24/15 12:22PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:13AM  :  Durable Goods Components Trump Headline; Bonds Rally

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Michael Gillani  :  "What a nice Friday morning to walk into."
Hugh W. Page  :  "But, the Fed also knows that ZIRP isn't helping the regular economy so they really want to normalize rates sooner rather than later."
Jeff Anderson  :  "You mean the Fed that has forecasted and then lowered their forecast repeatedly over the last few years?"
John Tassios  :  "FED needs to be careful raising rates this year. Economic internals point to less rosy data than FED forecasts do. Bond market has this right so far this year."
Matthew Graham  :  "internals definitely trumping the headline "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- US MARCH NONDEFENSE CAP ORDERS EX-AIRCRAFT -0.5 PCT (CONS +0.3 PCT) VS FEB -2.2 PCT (PREV -1.1 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. MARCH DURABLES EX-TRANSPORTATION ORDERS -0.2 PCT (CONS +0.3 PCT) VS FEB -1.3 PCT (PREV -0.6 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- US MARCH DURABLES ORDERS +4.0 PCT (CONSENSUS +0.6 PCT) VS FEB -1.4 PCT"