It was a fairly ugly day for bond markets.  MBS are down nearly a half point.  Most lenders repriced negatively at least once, and rate sheets are at their weakest levels in over a month.  The underlying technical picture suggests this is simply an aggressive exploration of a narrow pre-Fed range.

Reason being: 10yr yields have cut a range from roughly 1.8 to 2.0 for the past 6 weeks--ever since the last FOMC Announcement.  That might seem like a healthy size for a range, but historically, April has been one of the most narrow months on record. 

Considering the 'marking time' for end-of-day technical levels in Treasuries is 3pm, and that we were at 1.975 at the time, we can actually say that the medium-term range held up perfectly for the entire time. 

The conclusion here is not immediately apparent, but it's fairly serious.  True, it's no fun to lose so much ground in one day, but it pales in comparison to a bigger, broader range breakout.  Tomorrow is, and has been the first good chance to see such a breakout, and we're unfortunately going to be starting the day defending our own goal line.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-28 : -0-14
FNMA 3.5
104-27 : -0-10
FNMA 4.0
106-27 : -0-06
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5630 : +0.0380
10 YR
2.0030 : +0.0770
30 YR
2.7040 : +0.0870
Pricing as of 4/28/15 4:46PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
4:03PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Yet Again, Negative Reprice Risk Increases
1:24PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Reprice Risk Continues Building as Strong Auction Fails to Stem Selling
12:40PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Slight Increase in Negative Reprice Risk for Some Lenders
9:22AM  :  Bond Markets on The Run, Before and After Case Shiller Data

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Victor Burek  :  "according to fgmc guidelines, they require a engineers cert...doesn't mention tie downs"
tim paxton  :  "VA Manufactured homes do they require engineers cert and tie downs like FHA anyone know?"
Matthew Graham  :  "not getting much love from the quite decent result"
Brian Bockholdt  :  "I'd at least see what affect this has"
Matthew Graham  :  "premature conclusion"
Jeff Schlesinger  :  "So... float?"
Matthew Graham  :  "A-"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. 5-YEAR NOTES BID-TO-COVER RATIO 2.56, NON-COMP BIDS $35.43 MLN"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. SELLS $35 BLN 5-YEAR NOTES AT HIGH YIELD 1.380 PCT, AWARDS 71.87 PCT OF BIDS AT HIGH"
Matthew Graham  :  "WI yield currently at 1.394. Most recent 5yr auctions have come in above WI. Bid-to-cover average has been 2.44."
Scott Lushing  :  "what do we want as a btc?"
Matthew Graham  :  "It can move the needle a bit, but not necessarily a BIG big deal."
Scott Lushing  :  "is this 5 year auction a big deal?"