On the whole, it's been a quiet day for bond markets, with the assumption being that volatility will increase after the 2pm release of the FOMC Minutes.  The other possibility is that domestic volatility has been very light compared to European volatility over the past 3 weeks, and that we'd need to see a sustained move in Europe before reading too much into what might seem like big intraday swings (more on this HERE).

The day began well, with Treasuries holding technical support at 2.28 overnight and moving into moderately positive territory by the open.  MBS also opened roughly 5/32nds higher.  An in-range move to slightly weaker territory resulted in a modest swell of negative reprice risk heading into 10am, but this has since been revealed to be just another step in the consolidative move heading into 2pm.  At this point, bonds have ground to a complete sideways halt with essentially no movement for the past 40 minutes.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-19 : +0-05
FNMA 3.5
103-30 : +0-05
FNMA 4.0
106-15 : +0-04
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5970 : -0.0200
10 YR
2.2570 : -0.0330
30 YR
3.0500 : -0.0237
Pricing as of 5/20/15 1:14PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:57AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Addendum to Previous Update: Negative Reprice Risk
9:48AM  :  Fighting Off Early Negative Reprice Risk For Now

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Jason Anker  :  "Your UW is also right"
Jason Anker  :  "MH is right and the other lender is wrong."
Steven Byer  :  "They won't do it and I have my DE UW on staff that said there is no way they can use it. "
Matt Hodges  :  "HR has to guarantee the bonus"
Steven Byer  :  "New deal. Borrower just switched jobs. Executive with large publicly traded corp. Has base pay and history of substantial bonus with previous company. UW will only use base for new co as he has not got bonus from new co yet except for 300K sign on. Can't make work. Other fnma lender is telling him they can use bonus income? His contract says he can earn up to 35% of base in bonus. How are they using new bonus he has yet to receive?"
Manny Gomes  :  "I agree with bill after the knee jerk reaction bonds may actually benefit for some time"
Bill Hills  :  "can't one argue that raising the fed funds could actually be beneficial to mortgage rates in the near/mid-term... in the event that the equity market reaction is less than favorable and even more uncertainty develops with the US economy? "
Ira Selwin  :  "Learn it - know it - and most importantly - *educate your realtors*"
Ira Selwin  :  "Hot topic of the conference - TRID (of course)"