What is there to say about a day that has been so flat and uninteresting--especially compared to yesterday's craziness?  Treasuries have essentially returned to the same old trading pattern that dominated the action before yesterday's rout.  In fact, when we look at the charts below of MBS and Treasuries we can see just how flat 4 out of the past 5 days are.  Fingers crossed, the pre-Fed selling spree ran its course yesterday.

2015-9-16 Treasury

2015-9-16 MBS

We can talk about some of today's specifics, but the caveat is that nothing short of another snowball movement in markets really matters until the Fed events tomorrow afternoon.  In other words, if we're flat, things are boring.

Things weren't so boring for German bond markets overnight as the country's 30yr 'Bund' auction failed to garner enough bids to cover the auction amount.  That's unheard of when it comes to US Treasuries and still pretty rough when it comes to European bond markets.  They clearly made a case for weakness overnight, but US Treasuries were able to hold their ground without making any new highs.

2015-9-16 Bunds

From there, this morning's data saw Consumer Prices come in weaker than expected--certainly not a compelling argument for the Fed to hurry up and hike.  That said, I'm not sure if a stronger CPI report would have done much to change whatever is about to happen tomorrow.  


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-03 : +0-06
FNMA 3.5
103-11 : +0-05
FNMA 4.0
106-01 : +0-04
Treasuries
2 YR
0.7990 : -0.0120
10 YR
2.2810 : -0.0110
30 YR
3.0700 : -0.0010
Pricing as of 9/16/15 1:27PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
10:11AM  :  Holding Ground Despite Weaker Cues From Europe

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - NAHB HOUSING MARKET INDEX AT HIGHEST SINCE OCTOBER 2005"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- NAHB SEPT INDEX OF HOME SALES OVER NEXT SIX MONTHS 68 VERSUS 70 IN AUG"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. SEPTEMBER NAHB HOUSING MARKET INDEX 62 (CONSENSUS 61) VERSUS 61 IN AUGUST"
Steve Schneider  :  "I would tend to agree with you JT... but I still felt "locky" this week. I'm adopting that one..."
John Tassios  :  "FED won't move this week, but the language will be tilted hawkish for a Oct or Dec move. It may actually help longer ended TSY's rally with FED seen as raising in 2015, as it will push inflation expectations lower, tighten $$ velocity, and push USD higher. Just my 2 cents."
Christopher Stevens  :  "VB after yesterday I'd be happy with a flat line"
Victor Burek  :  "be nice to get some green today on the board"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. AUG CPI YEAR-OVER-YEAR +0.2 PCT (CONS +0.2 PCT), EXFOOD/ENERGY +1.8 PCT (CONS +1.9 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. AUG CPI -0.1 PCT (-0.0706; CONSENSUS UNCHANGED), EXFOOD/ENERGY +0.1 PCT (+0.0742; CONS +0.1 PCT)"
Compliance is Watching Me  :  "The words "simple" and "FHA" should never be included in the same sentence."