For lack of a better way to explain it, Friday's post-NFP rally was like a final, glorious charge into enemy territory.  Bond markets had already pushed a bit farther than they were likely to push, and had kept up the fight for a bit longer.  Coming into NFP, the bar was set high in terms of how weak the data would need to be in order to get a positive response from bond markets. 

Truth was stranger than fiction as the data was so weak that it left no doubts.  The only question was when bonds would bounce and how much of the gains would we give back.  THIS is the psychology that we see playing out in markets today--this unapologetic contingent of market participants who weren't keeping it a secret that they were looking to "sell strength" if bonds managed a strong showing after NFP. 

Treasuries continue leaking sideways to slightly higher.  Interestingly enough, they also continue trading in slightly better territory than before Friday's NFP.  MBS are doing better by comparison.  They're weaker, to be sure, but not as much as Treasuries.  Here's how the two charts look by comparison:

2015-10-5 comparo


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-20 : -0-05
FNMA 3.5
104-17 : -0-03
FNMA 4.0
106-25 : -0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.6050 : +0.0236
10 YR
2.0390 : +0.0479
30 YR
2.8800 : +0.0564
Pricing as of 10/5/15 1:05PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
10:27AM  :  Slightly Weaker Overnight; ISM Data Not Much Help

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Jeff Anderson  :  "Canary in a coal mine?"
Sung Kim  :  "and if anyone has been following Glencore news, that's a black swan"
Sung Kim  :  "well, the idea is that analysts have been ratcheting down their estimates so most companies will engineer to beat a lower bar... rally on garth"
Tim McNerney  :  "earnings, schmearnings"
Sung Kim  :  ""who cares if the econ is rapidly deteriorating, i am buying stocks!!!""
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PRICES INDEX BELOW 50 FOR FIRST TIME SINCE FEBRUARY, AT LOWEST SINCE JANUARY"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PRICES PAID INDEX 48.4 IN SEPT VS 50.8 IN AUG"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM NON-MANUFACTURING BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDEX 60.2 IN SEPT (CONSENSUS 61.4) VS 63.9 IN AUG"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM REPORT ON U.S. NON-MANUFACTURING SECTOR SHOWS PMI 56.9 IN SEPTEMBER (CONSENSUS 57.5) VS 59.0 IN AUGUST"