"Move along...  Nothing to see here..."  Despite the 4.6 bp increase in 10yr yields and the quarter point drop in MBS Prices, today was actually rather uneventful.  We already know that bond markets seem to have run out of steam after reaching recent low yields on the 14th.  All that remained to be seen was where the other side of the consolidation would kick in. 

Unfortunately, we're still trying to find the short term ceiling in yields as today saw another move toward higher highs and higher lows (each of the past 3 sessions have seen "higher lows").  The intraday highs of 2.079 mean that the consolidation has taken a bit of a weaker tone than that seen during the past several sessions.  It's too soon, however, to know if that means anything than that was how the ball bounced today.

There's certainly a temptation to chalk up any day's bond market weakness to stronger economic data if it's present.  It is present today (Housing Starts +1.206 million vs 1.15 million forecast), but indeed the temptation should be avoided.  Most of the day's weakness was intact before the data and the closing levels were not at all far from the pre-data levels.  This looks like more of a consolidation move ahead of next week's FOMC, with perhaps a nominal push from the data and a moderate slate of corporate bond issuance. 


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-14 : -0-08
FNMA 3.5
104-11 : -0-06
FNMA 4.0
106-21 : -0-04
Treasuries
2 YR
0.6330 : +0.0360
10 YR
2.0690 : +0.0460
30 YR
2.9130 : +0.0330
Pricing as of 10/20/15 5:35PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
3:46PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Modest Negative Reprice Risk
9:39AM  :  Bonds Marching to Their Own Beat (in an Unfriendly Direction).

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Ira Selwin  :  "For those that broker - having the lender do the LE is one things, but on an audit, how do you explain not having sent it yourself within 3 days of receiving borrower info"
Brent Borcherding  :  "Oh, and the risk."
Brent Borcherding  :  "Forget the risk, you get to offload paperwork."
Ryan Ford  :  "I would rather do the LE then I know it is right, I don't mind taking the risk."
Bryce Schetselaar  :  "lender 100%"
Brent Borcherding  :  "Lender"
Scott Valins  :  "lender for sure"
Oliver Orlicki  :  "Quick question for the brokers, are you finding it easier to let the lender do the LE or you?"
Victor Burek  :  "always 5 year minimum"
Ryan Bier  :  "Is FHA really 5 years mandatory PMI for loans previous to june 2013?"