Bond markets have had plenty of would-be market movers thrown in their general direction today.  This began in the overnight session with massive moves in shorter term European yields and substantial moves in longer term yields to boot.  Despite that, the domestic bond market barely budged.  While it's true that we don't always see US bond markets follow Europe in lock-step overnight, this is one of the bigger divergences.

Next up on the list of potential market movers was the morning's economic data.  There were a few line items that could have been taken in a positive light for bond markets--such as the miss in personal consumption (0.1 vs 0.3 forecast)--but in general, the data was NOT bond-friendly.  Here again, the input didn't matter.  Treasuries and MBS simply kept on truckin'.

2015-11-25 Dashboard

The blip at 11:30 was due to the 7yr Treasury auction.  That's rarely a market mover, but the passing of the week's supply considerations meant that traders were free to make their last trades of the day and head out for an extended holiday weekend.  It's entirely possible that the robots and JV traders that remain in the office will keep the trend perfectly sideways through the close.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-09 : +0-02
FNMA 3.5
103-13 : +0-02
FNMA 4.0
105-31 : +0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.9300 : +0.0000
10 YR
2.2290 : -0.0100
30 YR
2.9910 : -0.0140
Pricing as of 11/25/15 1:27PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:49AM  :  Bond Markets Impressively Flat In Spite of Data

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US OCT SINGLE-FAMILY HOME SALES 0.495 MLN UNIT ANN. RATE, (CONS 0.500 MLN) VS SEPT 0.447 MLN UNIT RATE (PREV 0.468 MLN)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US JOBLESS CLAIMS FELL TO 260,000 NOV 21 WEEK (CONSENSUS 270,000) FROM 272,000 PRIOR WEEK (PREVIOUS 271,000)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US OCT PERSONAL SPENDING +0.1 PCT (CONSENSUS +0.3 PCT) VS SEPT +0.1 PCT (PREV +0.1 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US OCT PERSONAL INCOME +0.4 PCT (CONS +0.4 PCT) VS SEPT +0.2 PCT (PREV +0.1 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US OCT DURABLES ORDERS +3.0 PCT (CONSENSUS +1.5 PCT) VS SEPT -0.8 PCT (PREV -1.2 PCT)"
Gerry Suarez  :  "well said Matthew, now it's our job to show you and others how they're missing out on long term wealth acquisition through appreciation. inflation will rise, and real estate will again be the best hedge for the average Joe."
Matthew Graham  :  "Not just with millennials, but with people and economic trends in general, stuffy old white-haired economists continue to ignore what is perhaps the biggest x-factor in the post-crisis economy, largely because it's impossible to measure and quantify: psychological fall-out from an unprecedented destruction of wealth and a redefining of risk and opportunity with the quintessential 'no-brainer' investment. The meltdown was a sea-change, but it was especially destructive to the economic optimism of those who were coming of age during the time. Combine this with the unevenness of the labor market and wage recovery, and you have the recipe for a completely logical absence of participation among the so-called millennial age group. Being 35, I feel qualified to get on this soap-box. I'm close enough that I can empathize a bit."
Christopher Stevens  :  ""They(CFPB) calculated they could secure a market shaping settlement ($98mill) by going after a company (Ally) unlikely to fight the charges because it needed to avoid a complaint to clinch govt approval for a broader restructuring.""
Sung Kim  :  "if you really look at what mortgage companies are really doing to market to millenials, it isnt about marketing, it is about making their transaction process more efficient"
Christopher Stevens  :  "Interesting article in WSJ today discussing CFPB's case against Ally and why they chose Ally."
Sung Kim  :  "indeed, the St. Louis Fed discussion on household debt over time supports this... it aint because kids are in some sort of massive debt hole"
Sung Kim  :  "long term trends would have predicted this"
Sung Kim  :  "2. people are getting married later, long term trend"
Sung Kim  :  "1. trend in kids living with parents is a long term trend and not a recent phenomena"