• Bonds slightly weaker for no overt reasons
  • Yellen speech hotly anticipated and quickly overlooked
  • Taken together with Friday's gains, today meant nothing

The best way to think about today is that it left bond markets where they probably would have been on Friday afternoon if Traders weren't afraid of being on the wrong side of a snowball rally.  After all, it looked like a snowball rally may have been starting to take shape with yields quickly moving to the lower end of their long term range.  It didn't make much sense to bet in the other direction on Friday afternoon.

But traders knew we'd have supply to deal with this week, both in terms of Treasury auctions and corporate bond issuance.  As such, it made more sense from a tactical standpoint to push yields a bit higher on Friday.  There just weren't many warm bodies willing to go out on those limbs.  

With today's overnight action leaving bond markets slightly weaker, the folks who wanted to sell were able to book their profits.  That said, they were met with a reasonable amount of buying interest that kept losses from getting too severe. 

Yellen's speech was fairly well anticipated, but she didn't end up saying anything new or meaningful.  Markets let their guard down just a bit after the initial text was released and bonds traded in that same range for the rest of the day (the range seen from a few minutes before to a few minutes after Yellen's speech).


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
102-25 : -0-04
Treasuries
10 YR
1.7370 : +0.0330
Pricing as of 6/6/16 5:16PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
11:01AM  :  Bonds Digesting Friday's Gains, Waiting on Yellen

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Scott Valins  :  "surprised by limited reaction"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - YELLEN - UNLESS OIL RESUMES EARLIER DECLINES OR DOLLAR RISES SUBSTANTIALLY, INFLATION WILL MOVE UP TO 2 PCT OVER NEXT 1-2 YEARS"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - YELLEN - A U.K. VOTE TO EXIT EUROPEAN UNION COULD HAVE SIGNIFICANT REPERCUSSIONS ON U.S. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - YELLEN - CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC HEADWINDS FROM ABROAD ON U.S. GROWTH ARE FADING"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - YELLEN - MAY JOBS REPORT WAS DISAPPOINTING BUT ONE SHOULD NEVER ATTACH TOO MUCH SIGNIFICANCE TO A SINGLE MONTHLY REPORT"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - YELLEN - OVERALL LABOR MARKET SITUATION HAS BEEN QUITE POSITIVE; SLACK ALMOST ELIMINATED; WAGE GROWTH MAY FINALLY BE PICKING UP"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - FED'S YELLEN SAYS STILL EXPECTS GRADUAL INTEREST RATE INCREASES; POSITIVES OF ECONOMIC OUTLOOK OUTWEIGH THE NEGATIVES"