Bonds began the day roughly unchanged and very flat for most of the morning. MBS began falling as we moved into the PM hours, ultimately resulting in a handful of negative reprices, about a quarter point of weakness, and a 4+bp jump in Treasury yields. If the frame of reference is limited to the domestic session, this is a moderate sell-off at best, but in the bigger picture, it was not even worth mentioning, let alone considering as a cause of concern. Bonds are heading into the 3 day weekend at much less alarming levels than last week, and with the the same requirement to wait for clarity on fiscal policies before the next major movement is revealed.
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- Jobless Claims
- 215k vs 225k f'cast, 224k prev
- Philly Fed
- -26.4 vs 2.0 f'cast, 12.5 prev
- Philly Fed Prices
- 51.0 vs 48.3 prev
- Philly Fed New Orders
- -34.2 vs 8.7 prev
- Jobless Claims
Initially weaker overnight, then reversing into U.S. hours. Slightly stronger after data. MBS down 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 0.7bps at 4.285
Weakest levels now. MBS down an eighth and 10yr up 5.1bps at 4.329