Unfortunate Market Movement For Unfortunate Reasons

Global financial markets partook in a slow motion train wreck on Monday as investors shunned USD-denominated assets and the dollar itself in response to Trump's vocal criticism of Fed Chair Powell.  The criticism itself wouldn't be too tough to deal with, but the prospect of "firing" the Fed Chair seems to figure much more prominently into this edition of Trump vs Powell than it did during Trump's previous term.  In not so many words, this would be "bad" for both stocks and bonds.  Today wasn't catastrophic by any means, but the correlated weakness between stocks, bonds and the USD is an important proof of concept. 

Econ Data / Events
    • Leading Indicators
      • -0.7 vs -0.5 f'cast, -0.3 prev
Market Movement Recap
10:13 AM

Weaker overnight, but pushing back since 8am ET.  MBS down just over an eighth and 10yr up 3bps at 4.355

12:35 PM

Nice gains into 1030am, but weaker since then.  MBS now down 9 ticks (.28) and 10yr up 5.1bps at 4.377

01:44 PM

weakest levels of the day for MBS with 5.5 coupons down 13 ticks (.41) and 10yr up 7.4bps at 4.40

04:00 PM

More new lows.  MBS down half a point and 10yr up 9.2bps at 4.419

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