This morning's stronger-than-forecast GDP data had a surprising amount of impact on the bond market (that is, it had a very small impact as opposed to none at all). The few bps of weakness looked to be more a trade of convenience than anything with yields perfectly tapping the trend line that's been serving as a ceiling for the past 3 trading sessions (chart of that in the AM commentary). Bonds recovered those losses and a bit more with help from weaker Leading Indicators at 10am ET. We're still advocating relative detachment until January. Volumes and liquidity were both very low.
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- Jobless Claims
- 216k vs 222k f'cast, 214k prev
- Q3 GDP, Final Revision
- 3.2 vs 2.9 f'cast/prev
- GDP Consumer Spending
- 2.3 vs 1.7 prev
- Leading Economic Indicators
- -1.0 vs -0.4 f'cast, -0.9 prev
- Jobless Claims
Slightly weaker after AM data. 10yr up 0.7bps on the day at 3.679. MBS down just over an eighth of a point depending on liquidity.
Illogical and mostly inconsequential volatility, fueled primarily by illiquidity in MBS. Now down only 3 tick (.09) after just being down a quarter point moments ago. 10yr yield just barely under unchanged levels at 3.669%.
Unchanged from the previous update and generally sideways all day.
MBS Market Alerts
