MBS Live: MBS Morning Market Summary
New All Time Highs For MBS!!!!  Wait... It's sort of anti-climactic really.  Rate sheets aren't much better than they were on Friday (in some notable cases, they're worse?!) and benchmark Treasuries continue to forge lower in yield thanks to snowball buying (short-covering in Treasuries and Stock lever).  All of the above finds 10yr yields testing the 1.83% technical level.  Unlike most 11am examples of "post-Fed-Twist-buying" bounces, this one isn't shooting immediately higher in yield.  Maybe we're finally getting some more sincere reaction to Friday's NFP and Euro-election results as well?  Volume is definitely higher today than yesterday, indicating some level of increased motivation, but we worry that it's just a head-fake before tomorrow's 10yr Auction.  All of the above notwithstanding, MBS are stuck in the mud, barely trudging a few ticks beyond previous all-time high--noticeably lamenting the absence of 3.0 coupon liquidity.
MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
FNMA 3.5
104-08 : +0-05
FNMA 4.0
106-06 : +0-03
FNMA 4.5
107-14 : +0-01
FNMA 5.0
108-32 : +0-01
GNMA 3.5
105-25 : +0-06
GNMA 4.0
108-23 : +0-04
GNMA 4.5
109-22 : +0-01
GNMA 5.0
111-02 : +0-01
FHLMC 3.5
104-04 : +0-06
FHLMC 4.0
105-30 : +0-03
FHLMC 4.5
107-00 : +0-01
FHLMC 5.0
108-08 : -0-02
Pricing as of 11:08 AM EST
Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
Below is a recap of instant Reprice Alerts and updates issued via email and text alert to MBS Live subscribers this morning.

10:14AM  :  Investors Pare Treasury Positions, Neutral For 1st Time in a Month
(Reuters) - Investors reduced their Treasuries holdings in advance of $72 billion in supply, which is part of the U.S. government's May quarterly refunding, a survey released on Tuesday showed.

A disappointing U.S. April payrolls report last Friday and uncertainties over the national elections in France and Greece this past weekend had spurred safehaven demand for U.S. and German government debt. This drove benchmark 10-year U.S. yields near three-month lows and Bund futures to record highs on Friday.

The current low levels of Treasury yields cut into the profitability to hold U.S. government securities, with the 10-year yield running at 1.85 percent early Tuesday, analysts said.

The U.S. Treasury will kick off its latest quarterly refunding with a $32 billion sale of new three-year notes at 1 p.m. (1700 GMT) on Tuesday. The share of investors who said they are long U.S. government debt, or holding more Treasuries than their benchmarks, fell to 17 percent on Monday from 23 percent the prior week, J.P. Morgan Securities said in its weekly Treasury client survey.

This is the lowest level of Treasuries longs in five weeks.
9:50AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Bond Markets Holding Overnight Gains in Narrow Range
As expected, the domestic session has gotten off to a slow start once again, but this time with a slightly more bullish tilt than yesterday's. Case in point, following the stock market's cash open at 9:30, MBS moved up to all time highs once again, currently up 4 ticks at 104-07. 10yr yields are down about 2.5 bps at 1.845.

Even though volumes aren't especially huge, bond markets got a lift overnight from the general European malaise, this time manifesting itself most noticeably in news that Spain may bailout out one of it's troubled banks to the tune of €7-10 bln. Coupled with ongoing political uncertainty following Greek elections and 10yr yields found themselves testing the 1.83 technical floor early this morning (but bouncing).

As has been noted and lamented (see the "Day Ahead" linked below), it's another slow day, but perhaps slightly less slow than yesterday. As evidence of the slowness, the cash stock market open has been the biggest source of inspiration for bond market volume so far this morning, but "stuff" like the Fed Twist buying from 10:15-11:00am and the 3yr Note auction at 1pm stand a decent chance to elicit better participation.
Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of the featured comments from the MBS Live Dashboard's Live Chat feature, utilized by hundreds of industry professionals each day.

Jude Bridwell  :  "Awesome, thanks MG. You're the man! I'll keep for future reference."
Matthew Graham  :  "So, on the following pdf: http://www.dtcc.com/products/documentation/cs/ficc/mbs/0512Processing.Schedule.pdf , 48 hour day for Class A (Fannie/Freddie 30yr Fixed MBS), is 5/10"
Matthew Graham  :  "Then about 4 "+'s" from the bottom you'll see "settlement cycles" which will have a link through to pdf's of individual months. Just remember that "48 hour" day is the one with the drop at the end of the day."
Matthew Graham  :  "http://www.dtcc.com/products/documentation/fi/mbs.php#"
Matthew Graham  :  "Thursday Jude. I'll grab you the link for future references"
Jude Bridwell  :  "MG or anyone, is the MBS roll today or tomorrow. Sorry, haven't been able to get to the board much today. Didn't see where mentioned already. And is it always on a certain day of the month. Thanks!"
Matthew Graham  :  "make that 17 points now."
Matthew Graham  :  "S&P futures down 15 points from 4pm now"
John McClellan  :  "good info"
Jason Adams  :  "agreed, thanks MG. "
Tony Cardinal  :  "thx MG. that was a good read"
Matthew Graham  :  "highly recommended reading: http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/05072012_financial_reform.asp"
Matthew Graham  :  "indeed"
Patrick Waldron  :  "Stock lever bumping 10YR?"
Oliver S. Orlicki  :  "nice start to the morning"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- BANK OF AMERICA CORP BAC.N SAYS FIRST LETTERS TO MORE THAN 200,000 POTENTIAL CANDIDATES ARE ARRIVING IN HOMES THIS WEEK "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- BANK OF AMERICA SAYS ESTIMATES AVERAGE MONTHLY SAVINGS OF 30% ON MORTGAGE PAYMENTS OF CUSTOMERS WHO QUALIFY FOR THIS PROGRAM "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- BANK OF AMERICA CORP BAC.N SAYS MORE THAN 200,000 BANK CUSTOMERS MAY QUALIFY FOR PRINCIPAL REDUCTION "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- BANK OF AMERICA EXTENDS MODIFICATION OFFERS UNDER GLOBAL SERVICER SETTLEMENT "

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