MBS Live: MBS MID-DAY
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FNMA 3.5
101-04 : -0-01
FNMA 4.0
103-13 : +0-01
FNMA 4.5
105-02 : +0-01
FNMA 5.0
106-29 : -0-02
GNMA 3.5
103-08 : +0-04
GNMA 4.0
105-31 : +0-03
GNMA 4.5
107-29 : +0-03
GNMA 5.0
109-07 : -0-01
FHLMC 3.5
101-01 : +0-03
FHLMC 4.0
103-05 : +0-02
FHLMC 4.5
104-25 : +0-03
FHLMC 5.0
106-17 : +0-01
Pricing as of 11:01 AM EST
Morning Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
9:58AM  :  ALERT: MBS and Treasuries Find Support as Stocks Open Flat
Although MBS are not yet back to the highs of yesterday's session, even being close is a fairly significant improvement from this morning. 10yr yields are down to 2.175 now, unchanged on the day. Meanwhile MBS are into the green:

-Fannie 3.5's are up 6 ticks at 101-11
- Fannie 4.0's are up 3 ticks at 103-15
- Ginnie 3.5's are up 4 ticks at 103-08

Lenders that hadn't released pricing already may delay initial sheets a bit, or simply come out with less aggressive pricing with the potential to reprice for the better later in the day. Lenders who priced earlier this morning might reprice for the better if current levels prove that they can stick around for a bit.
8:55AM  :  ALERT: Treasuries Significantly Weaker. MBS Following. Rates Higher
Although MBS were able to start the session in similar territory to yesterday's 5pm levels, things have deteriorated this morning. Longer-dated Treasuries are higher in yield (bigger moves with each longer maturity, i.e. 30's worse, 2's best). Here's a run-down of levels currently

- Fannie 3.5's down 5 ticks at 101-00
- Fannie 4.0's down 4 ticks at 103-09
- Ginnie 3.5's down 6 ticks at 102-30
- 10yr Yields up 4 bps at 2.2156

CPI came in near expectations, not a big market mover. But HOUSING STARTS, of all things, actually may have had some sort of negative effect on bond markets--albeit slight--as it came in significantly hotter than expectations, up 15% vs a forecast for falling 5%. We'd point out though that if you see a chart of housing starts, the "15% vs -5%" looks nothing like the reality. That looks more like someone throwing a deflated basketball off a roof that pathetically hits the ground and rolls excruciatingly sideways. >br/>
All in all, it's been a choppier-than-average morning, which stands a good chance to make rate sheets weaker than yesterday's latest offerings unless things turn around fairly quickly.
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
tom duff  :  "MBS live...WOW everything I ever needed!"
Matthew Graham  :  "and you can move it! Intro video: http://screencast.com/t/fqya3x2FjsRi"
Julian Hebron  :  "holy moly MBS live is awesome"
Robert Rippy  :  "MG, this is excellent. Y'all continue to impress."
John McClellan  :  "This is really nice....great job guys"
Wilkin Rodriguez  :  "Very nice on the new dashboard"
Gaius Rossini  :  "regarding the FHFA announcment on HARP 2.0 - when originators were asked what the likelihood of the timing of an announcement, a 50% chance it comes out today and a 90% chance by end of the week"
Alan Craft  :  "Love it MG Great job"
Jim Leonard  :  "Love the new dashboard, thanks guys"
Bert Swyers  :  "wow new dashboard crazy, wow"
Ira Selwin  :  "Dont forget to vote lock./float!"
Glenn Setzer  :  "intro video: http://screencast.com/t/fqya3x2FjsRi"
Dennis Lykins  :  "wow ... great job! this is super! "
Dennis Lykins  :  "wow! i am on dashboard. i just clicked link. cool"
Brayden Alexander  :  "new mobile app is outstanding. much more user friendly with going from page to page. kudos to the whole team. "
Matthew Graham  :  "you're on this page though right? http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mbs/userdashboard.aspx"
Dennis Lykins  :  "only once on the va bk, several years ago, veteran was disabled, bk was due to delay in va benefits, settlement allowed for 10% down payment with great letter of explanation and backup paperwork. went straight to va for prior approval."
Matt Hodges  :  "has anyone successfully gotten a VA through a purchase with a BK in the 1-2 year time frame?"
AQ  :  "that means traders will panic when the mkt corrects and buy back their hedges (reduce coverage on their pipeline), which will then be followed by another wave of panic selling as the correction fails."
Jeff Anderson  :  "AQ, is that anticipating that Europe resolves itself? Would a Greek default changet that outlook?"
AQ  :  "that is color I wrote for lock desks re: hedging their pipeline. You should pick up on one thing: the expectation for lower prices and snowball selling."
AQ  :  "The next down leg in price would begin within the next few days…this will be the fifth wave of the pattern that began when the market peaked in September…my guess is that the largest pick-up in hedge volume will take place just near the bottom of that coming fifth wave, and most of those hedges will blow up in the ensuing 3 wave corrective pattern. When the guys who set hedges during the coming wave 5 decide to buy them in during the third leg of the ensuing corrective up-trade, that will be the"
Jeff Anderson  :  "I'm a big fan of the slow stochastic. On the charts it's into oversold territory, although it hasn't crossed over yet. Doesn't that help us a bit, technically speaking."
Matt Hodges  :  "pay off of heloc = cashout"
AQ  :  "there is an abnormally wide range of hedge ratios among lock desks right now. That means some lock desks are prepared for a downtick in prices while others are way underprepared. If we do see a breakdown in TBA price levels, a rush of loan locking would likely follow. Although the Fed is there to mop up the mess, just beware, the decline in prices could be steep."
Jill Statz  :  "no"
Matt Hodges  :  "was it a puchase money heloc?"
Steven Stone  :  "i think its still considered cash out"
Jill Statz  :  "anyone happen to have the FNMA guidelines on a HELOC...iwhat I am looking for is how FNMA looks at a HELOC that has had no drawns on it for over 2 yrs."
Aaron Buyside Meyer  :  "Wow this new format is great"
Joseph Watts  :  "Econ calenda is great. Nice work."
Victor Burek  :  "updates quicker than any other econ calender"
Steven Stone  :  "im just watching it and bam its flashing me info"
Matthew Graham  :  "Econ calendar rocks"
Gaius Rossini  :  "at least some banks were closed so that probably had an effect"
Gaius Rossini  :  "mba apps is not adjusted for columbus day"
Steven Stone  :  "so big drop off in apps last week huh?"
Steve Chizmadia  :  "You guys continue to do that with this site. An on that note. I'm out for the night... For real this time"
Steve Chizmadia  :  "Great = having the imagination and zeal to re-create yourself daily. "