Bond markets had been trending in an unfriendly direction all day.  The charts on the dashboard don't capture the strength of the trend because it began in the overnight session and stayed steady until roughly 2pm.  That's when the tragic headlines began coming in regarding the mass shooting in San Bernadino.

The connection between financial markets and this sort of atrocity might not be readily apparent, but it is real.  Uncertainty is at the heart of the issue.  While mass shooting in the US with multiple gunmen at large is horrible enough on its own, it would be even more horrible if it was the first of a series of attacks, like those that occurred in Paris.  Until that sort of escalation can be ruled out, investors will be more risk averse.  That's usually a cue to sell stocks and buy bonds.

In today's case, the small-scale flight-to-safety in markets did more to hurt stocks than to help bonds.  MBS and Treasuries ended the day having lost roughly half of what they gained yesterday.  Tomorrow and Friday bring the week's most anticipated data in the form of the ECB Announcement and NFP. 


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-19 : -0-08
FNMA 3.5
103-23 : -0-06
FNMA 4.0
106-06 : -0-05
Treasuries
2 YR
0.9430 : +0.0320
10 YR
2.1850 : +0.0400
30 YR
2.9090 : +0.0060
Pricing as of 12/2/15 7:13PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
12:33PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Bonds Back to Weakest Levels After Yellen
10:31AM  :  Heads-Up On The Negative Trend
8:37AM  :  Bond Markets Weaker After ADP Beat

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Paul Martin  :  "Riddle me this Batman: so if we are going to struggle to get inflation to under 2.00% by 2018, the rest of the world is still devaluing their currencies so as to export more goods (which makes the dollar stronger and lowers inflation...how is us increasing rates now going to actually help create inflation with an even stronger dollar (meaning even less inflation)?"
Timothy Baron  :  "While not great, the economy is now better than it was in the depths of the crisis. There is no argument there. SK is exactly right. Why should the Fed rate still be where it was during a massive crisis?"
Sung Kim  :  "0-.25% was reserved for the utter depths of the financial crisis"
Sung Kim  :  "Data has been good enough to warrant a .25% increase"
John Tassios  :  "Yellen did not say anything new. December is baked in."
Andy Pada, Jr.  :  "nice side swipe on the mortgage industry"
Hugh W. Page  :  "That last statement from Yellen is puzzling. QE3 as open ended and is she saying it was the most effective? I thought QE had diminishing benefits after QE1."
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - FED'S YELLEN SAYS FED LEARNED OVER TIME THAT OPEN ENDED QE WAS MORE EFFECTIVE"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - FED'S YELLEN SAYS QE HAD A LARGE EFFECT AT OUTSET OF CRISIS"