This morning's NFP data came in just a bit hotter than expected at 211k vs a median forecast of 200k.  Revisions were fairly strong, but wage growth cooled from +0.4 to +0.2.  Unemployment held steady at 5.0 percent, but U-6 unemployment (the broadest measurement of folks who aren't working as much as they want to be) rose by 0.1 percent.

The initial reaction saw bond markets lose ground, but that was quickly relegated to knee-jerk status and the rest of the day has been going relatively smoothly.  While it's not a 100% correlation, a sharp decline in oil prices probably isn't hurting bond markets today (due to the inflation implications). 

Given that the shorter-term yields aren't moving as much in Treasuries, we can conclude that today's bounce back is also being supported by some of yesterday's panicked trades being unwound.  In other words, yesterday was full "scared armadillo" mode for the long end of the yield curve.  It got bounced around quite a bit and is now starting to unroll from its ball of fear and self-preservation.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-04 : +0-10
FNMA 3.5
103-11 : +0-09
FNMA 4.0
105-30 : +0-06
Treasuries
2 YR
0.9430 : -0.0150
10 YR
2.2710 : -0.0500
30 YR
3.0060 : -0.0550
Pricing as of 12/4/15 2:07PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
10:58AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Quick Word of Caution For Those Following 2-Day Charts
8:33AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: First Move is Weaker Following Strong NFP

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US NOV PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS +197,000 (CONS +190,000), VS OCT +304,000 (PREV +268,000)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. NOV AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS ALL PRIVATE WORKERS +0.2 PCT (CONS +0.2 PCT) VS OCT +0.4 PCT (PREV +0.4 PCT) TO $25.25 VS OCT $25.21; NOV YEAR-ON-YEAR EARNINGS +2.3 PCT"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. NOV JOBLESS RATE 5.0 PCT (CONSENSUS 5.0 PCT) VS OCT 5.0 PCT (PREV 5.0 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. NOV LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE 62.5 PCT VS OCT 62.4 PCT (PREV 62.4 PCT)"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. NOV NONFARM PAYROLLS +211,000 (CONSENSUS +200,000) VS OCT +298,000 (PREV +271,000), SEPT +145,000 (PREV +137,000)"