MBS traded less than a 3/8ths point range to end down an eighth of a point (Fannie 3.5) and 10yr yields traded an 8 bp range to end LESS THAN ONE BASIS POINT HIGHER on the day.

This could have been any random day in the history of bond markets.  Instead, it makes history as the day where the biggest shift in monetary policy was enacted to the smallest possible fanfare. 

As expected, the Fed raised it's target rate by a quarter point.  Everyone knew they would and I haven't been shy about reminding you.  What everyone didn't know was how the rest of the Fed's communications would read and how markets would react. 

It turns out the Fed wasn't keen to do anything surprising.  As we might have gleaned from recent communications, the committee generally sees policy rates moving higher at a gentler pace than before.  Apart from that, there weren't any new takeaways, puzzlers, or nuggets of food for thought.

The absence of Fed drama was met with an equal absence of market drama.  After an obligatory spat of volatility in the immediate wake of the announcement, bonds simply returned in line with their pre-Fed trends, and that was that.  We'll talk more about where we go from here tomorrow.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
99-20 : -0-06
FNMA 3.5
102-27 : -0-04
FNMA 4.0
105-18 : -0-02
Treasuries
2 YR
1.0130 : +0.0450
10 YR
2.2780 : +0.0100
30 YR
2.9790 : -0.0130
Pricing as of 12/16/15 8:20PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
2:43PM  :  Bond Markets Near Unchanged as Yellen Press Conference Begins
2:07PM  :  Fed's New Note on Policy Implementation
2:01PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Fed Hikes; First Move Is Weaker
10:55AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Negative Reprice Risk Becoming More of a Consideration for Some
10:37AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Potential Increase in Negative Reprice Risk Offset by Oil Weakness
9:48AM  :  Just Slightly Weaker After Morning Data

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Oliver Orlicki  :  "think this is the best we could have asked for"
Andrew Horowitz  :  "holding 2.31 on the 10 year is important also IMO"
Victor Burek  :  "2yr under 1.00 also good"
Matt Hodges  :  "The Committee directs the Desk to continue rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction and to continue reinvesting principal payments on all agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities"
Christopher Stevens  :  "that was the high back on June 10"
Christopher Stevens  :  "Santelli said holding 178 bps on 5YR was big"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - MEDIAN VIEW OF APPROPRIATE FEDERAL FUNDS RATE AT END-2016 IS 1.375 PCT (PREV 1.375 PCT), END-2017 IS 2.375 PCT (PREV 2.625 PCT); END-2018 3.250 (PREV 3.375 PCT): LONGER-RUN IS 3.500 PCT (PREV 3.500 PCT) - FED PROJECTIONS"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - FED SETS INTEREST ON OVERNIGHT EXCESS RESERVES RATE AT 0.50 PCT"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- FED SAYS ANTICIPATES AROUND $2 TRILLION IN TREASURY SECURITIES WILL BE AVAILABLE FOR REVERSE REPO OPERATIONS"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- FED SETS REVERSE REPO RATE AT 0.25 PERCENT, WILL OFFER AMOUNTS LIMITED ONLY BY VALUE OF TREASURY SECURITIES HELD IN SYSTEM OPEN MARKET ACCOUNT"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - FED RAISES TARGET INTEREST RATE 25 BASIS POINTS; SETS RANGE AT 0.25-0.50 PCT"