While "whatever it takes to stay sideways" makes it sound like some sort of passionate goal, it's really just a byproduct of the season (or a simple objective math equation). Specifically, bonds have either been rallying if yields get too high or selling if yields get too low. Everyone gives up their more passionate goals and abstains from opportunistic trading. Then, everyone can get what they want/need here at the end of 2015. If some traders were intent on deviating from the unspoken consensus, they'd run a higher-than-normal risk of failing.
(For what it's worth, the path of least resistance isn't always "sideways" at the end of the year, but it certainly is this year.)
Economic data was deceptively unimportant today. At first glance, it looked like Durable Goods (which beat its forecast at the headline level 0.0 vs -0.6) was responsible for bond market weakness. A deeper look reveals capital expenditures (a component of the report) fell 0.4 percent vs a median forecast for a -0.1 percent decline. The same metric was also revised lower for last month from 1.3 to 0.6. That's a much bigger story for bond markets, and one that would suggest a move in the opposite direction.
The data can further be dismissed as a market mover when we look at the trading leading up to it. Not only were bonds steadily weaker overnight, but they kicked into a slightly higher gear of selling at the 8:20am CME open. This acts like an unveiling of previously unknown trading positions because certain traders cannot trade any earlier.
Bond markets close early tomorrow (2pm ET), but are clearly already unofficially closed.
MBS | FNMA 3.0 99-24 : -0-04 | FNMA 3.5 102-29 : -0-03 | FNMA 4.0 105-17 : -0-02 |
Treasuries | 2 YR 0.9890 : +0.0120 | 10 YR 2.2590 : +0.0200 | 30 YR 2.9900 : +0.0260 |
Pricing as of 12/23/15 5:32PMEST |