If there was one objective hurdle to clear in order to consider the present week completely uneventful in terms of big picture rate momentum, it would have been that the 10yr Treasury yield hold inside the 4.34 - 4.50 range. Thanks to today's friendly revision in consumer inflation expectations, the hurdle was cleared without a millimeter to spare. With that, these business days plus the adjacent weekend days add up to 11 uneventful days for the bond market. Next week isn't much better in terms of big ticket data, but Friday's PCE price index is a notable exception.
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- Durable Goods
- 0.7 vs -0.8 f'cast
- last month revised to 0.8 from 2.6
- Consumer Sentiment, final
- 69.1 vs 67.5 f'cast
- 1yr inflation expectations
- 3.3 vs 3.5 f'cast
- 5yr inflation expectations
- 3.0 vs 3.1 f'cast
- Durable Goods
Buyers held out until the safe read on consumer inflation expectations. Now turning green with 10yr down 0.2bps at 4.474 and MBS unchanged (up an eighth from lows).
Steady at modestly stronger levels. MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down .6bps at 4.47
Early close has come and gone without any major changes to mid-day prices seen in the last update.
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