August began with bond yields moving down from 3%, effectively keeping them in a sideways-to-slightly higher trend that arguably dates back to January. The trend may have taken a break in the spring as yields tested a move over 3.10%, but geopolitical considerations and trade tensions quickly caused traders to rethink it.
At times, the range has been as narrow as 2.82-2.88, which is also true for most of this week, and easily true for today. With rates operating so persistently in such a narrow range, there's little to do but wait for a breakout. Otherwise, we'd just be enumerating a litany of bull vs bear arguments for rates and marveling at their serendipitous counterbalance.
I sincerely apologize for that fact that the last sentence read like something out of a vocab book, or a high school term paper where the kid is trying too hard. I will make it up to you by cutting today's recap short. Back at it on Tuesday. happy Labor Day weekend!