Tue, Sep 8 2009, 5:00 PM
Anyone catch the reference to the "secret line" on Friday? I know most are eager to get out for the weekend, so by the time a closing commentary make...
Tue, Sep 8 2009, 3:37 PM
In after hours trading, the FN 4.5 has found stable ground near the middle of its 2 day range. MBS trading volume was below average today. Originator...
Tue, Sep 8 2009, 2:21 PM
Markets are moving sideways in what has been a slow day day on Wall Street. After having digested nonfarm payroll cutbacks over the long weekend, inv...
Tue, Sep 8 2009, 1:23 PM
Immediately following the auction, it would have been hard to pinpoint any significant data release simply by watching market prices for a reaction. ...
Tue, Sep 8 2009, 1:03 PM
results for auction of $38 bln of 3 yr notes
* high yield at 1.487%
* 54.6% of bids at high yield
* median yield at 1.43, right with ...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 12:55 PM
Mortgage backed securities had a calm day yesterday, never straying far from opening levels, posting inconsequential gains by close. You could say t...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 12:26 PM
What's good for stocks is bad for bonds. Stocks are rallying and bonds are selling. Reprices for the worse are possible. The range should still modera...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 10:59 AM
The FN 4.5 has held a stable range after a bit of early morning volatility. Currently we are in a holding pattern right in the middle of the recent ra...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 8:35 AM
The knee jerk reaction to the headline was a drop in stock futures and rising TSY futures. However, the market quickly changed course...stock futures ...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 8:16 AM
The decline in July’s nonfarm payrolls was the smallest in 11 months, so the Employment Situation report for August should bring optimism to markets s...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 5:47 PM
I'm lamenting a wasted Friday... No point in sticking around today if you were paying attention up until NFP today. Everything should have been lock...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 4:02 PM
After bouncing off this AM's lows of 100-13 for the second time today, prices have formed a perfect triangle into the close--characteristic of so many...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 2:40 PM
The Commission of the FHA responded this morning to an article in the Wall Street Journal that stated the agency was nearing the trigger point mandate...
Fri, Sep 4 2009, 1:44 PM
Yes it's Friday. Yes, volume is low. Yes, it's after 12:00 noon. Yes, flows at this time of day are seldom indicative of Monday's action, or at lea...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 12:18 PM
Trading as been seasonally slow in the secondary mortgage market today. In the "to be announced" sector, mortgage originators have locked about $700 ...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 11:00 AM
Mortgage Rates are still holding steady near summer lows after prices of mortgage backed securities rallied to summer highs yesterday. While the appre...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 8:32 AM
Lenders will likely be defensive ahead of tomorrow's job data/long weekend ahead/market going back to work (summer session almost over!!!). Dont be su...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 8:21 AM
Looking ahead to today, the key releases concern the labor market and consumer spending, two areas crucial to any hopes of a V-shaped recovery. So whi...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 6:18 PM
It might seem cliche, but everything really does come down to NFP tomorrow, and by "everything," I mean the next 6 weeks... In case you missed last n...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 6:14 PM
The Federal Reserve today reported on their weekly purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS). In the five trading days between August 27 an...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 4:57 PM
According to Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week ended September 3, most mortgage rates declined from the week before. Fannie M...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 4:41 PM
Overall it has been a slow day in the rates market. Volume in TSY futures was below average. The 10yr Dec contract held a range between 117-20 and 117...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 2:09 PM
Q: Is the MBS market doing good or bad today?
A: Yes
At the very least, you can draw on familiarity as a positive for today. Despite the signif...
Thu, Sep 3 2009, 1:10 PM
Markets are pretty much flat again, indicating most participants are playing it safe ahead of tomorrow's all important Employment Situation Report. Th...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 12:40 PM
Low volume... Low volatility... Low expectations... Low pulse...
Seems like some the "mood" that could be inferred from the lead-in wouldn't be ...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 10:57 AM
If stocks go higher...expect too see profit taking in the rates market. If stocks keep bouncing around flat for the day, we still might see profit tak...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 9:24 AM
As the new administration deliberates on what the government’s role should be in securing mortgage credit across the US, a national group of real esta...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 8:18 AM
So far this AM
* ADP employment down 298k, more than expected
* Still, we're shocked ADP is even line 1 news
* Mortgage Banker's Asso...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 8:15 AM
Equity futures are pointing slightly higher this morning, but the gains are far from comforting considering the S&P 500 slid 2.2% yesterday, led by 5....
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 8:05 AM
A slight hurdle was hit after many weeks of increasing demand for mortgage loans and new purchases, a housing industry survey said. Even with average ...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 6:28 PM
Generally positive, with significant downside risks in the short-term, with more uncertainty than normal... That's how I'm about to describe the outl...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 4:21 PM
I'm not happy about putting out this alert... It's the last hour of a low volume rally day and we're seeing losses that would justify reprices for th...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 3:26 PM
The minutes from the most recent Fed meeting are out and though no measurable response is present in MBS, at the very least, it can be said that the p...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 3:25 PM
A new study from Columbia University involving data from 700,000 mortgage loans found that loans originated by the bank were less likely to be delinqu...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 2:55 PM
Much like Monday, early morning weakness in the fixed income sector was followed by a rally later in the day in spite of better than expected economic...
Wed, Sep 2 2009, 1:36 PM
Stocks have gone sideways after Tuesday’s major equity sell-off. Markets hardly moved when a private jobs report failed to match expectations, while ...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 12:43 PM
After the initial knee jerk reaction to better than expected economic data, stocks rallied and the rates market sold off. However, shortly after marke...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 11:15 AM
A key housing report that anticipates future sales posted its sixth straight monthly gain in July. The Pending Home Sales Index jumped 3.2% in the mon...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 10:02 AM
Morning data is in....ISM Manufacturing 52.9 vs. 50.5 expected (48.9 previous), Pending Home Sales +3.2% vs. 2.0% expected (+3.6% previous), Construct...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 8:47 AM
MBS has one supportive event behind (month end index extension) and three more ahead. BEWARE: Rate sheet influential will sell off fast if benchmark y...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 8:30 AM
Regional reports from around the country have indicated that manufacturing conditions were improving in August, leading analysts to believe that today...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 4:44 PM
We're finally getting enough confirmation to begin to question the summertime range. How appropriate that the successful retest of recent highs comes...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 2:40 PM
At 1:23 PM we hit highs of the day at 100-26. Since then we're back down in a range that defines the lows of the afternoon which also coincide with t...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 1:34 PM
Stock markets opened lower on Tuesday morning, jumped more than 1% on mostly positive data thirty minutes into the session, but in a complete reversal...
Tue, Sep 1 2009, 1:16 PM
Many mortgage lenders began yesterday with a conservative rates strategy after ealy weakness in the mortgage backed securities market. But as the day ...
Mon, Aug 31 2009, 11:40 AM
Annnnnnd we're back to the highs of the day. The FN 4.5 is currently +0-07 at 100-13. From the 20 some odd mainstream rate sheets we've seen...mortgag...
Mon, Aug 31 2009, 11:36 AM
Even though price action in the secondary market was choppy and economic reports were better than expected, conventional 30 year par mortgage rates he...
Mon, Aug 31 2009, 10:47 AM
The Mortgage Bankers Association has released their semi-annual report on the largest commercial and multi-family loan servicers. Wells Fargo/Wachovi...
Mon, Aug 31 2009, 10:08 AM
The FN 4.5 has fallen 6 ticks from a bid of 100-13 to 100-07. Currently the rate sheet influential FN 4.5 is +0-01 on the day after being as high as ...
Mon, Aug 31 2009, 8:48 AM
The Week Ahead... Supportive time of month for MBS. Massive index extension means increased demand for longer life MBS (RATE SHEET INFLUENTIAL). Impli...
