MBS Live: MBS RECAP
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Pricing as of 4:02 PM EST |
Afternoon Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
3:17PM :
PMI Group Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
Washington Post: Private mortgage insurer PMI Group Inc. is seeking shelter from creditors under the Chapter 11 bankruptcy code after the seizure of two of its subsidiaries by regulators in Arizona.
1:20PM :
ALERT:
7 Year Treasury Auction an Absolute Triumph. Possible Positive Reprices
After 5 auctions in a row (7 out of the last 8 as well) resulted in higher than "when-issued" yields, today's auction stopped through at a much lower yield (1.415 vs 1.44). There were 3.2 dollars bid for each dollar offered, crushing the recent average of 2.74 and combined with the better than anticipated yield, sending a clear message that US Debt is in high demand (we'd also point out that there wasn't a higher-than-normal indirect bid, which is a rough proxy for foreign demand).
10yr notes hesitated for a moment at their previous lows of the day, then moved lower and are currently contending with a break of 1.90. Although this puts 10's well into the green on the day, MBS are struggling to hold onto a 1 tick gain, currently at 102-01. If MBS hold over 101-30, we could see some reprices for the better this afternoon, but would also expect lenders to be tentative ahead of what is essentially a long weekend.
10yr notes hesitated for a moment at their previous lows of the day, then moved lower and are currently contending with a break of 1.90. Although this puts 10's well into the green on the day, MBS are struggling to hold onto a 1 tick gain, currently at 102-01. If MBS hold over 101-30, we could see some reprices for the better this afternoon, but would also expect lenders to be tentative ahead of what is essentially a long weekend.
11:03AM :
Euro Zone Unlikely to Survive Intact, Say Top Economists - RTRS POLL
(Reuters) - The euro zone is unlikely to survive its sovereign debt crisis in current form, according to a majority of leading economists and former policymakers polled by Reuters.
Fourteen out of 20 prominent academics, former policymakers and independent thinkers polled over the last 10 days agreed the euro zone's make-up would change. A new "core" euro zone with fewer members received qualified backing from 10 economists as a possible solution, with seven of them saying Greece should be excluded from it.
"The euro zone can and should survive, but will not survive on the current trajectory," said Jeffrey Sachs, director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University in New York. There was a recurring theme that to tackle the crisis the European Central Bank should either become lender of last resort, or buy huge quantities of euro zone government bonds, in exchange for binding fiscal integration.
Germany, the euro zone's paymaster, and the ECB itself are staunchly opposed to the central bank becoming a lender of last resort, or monetising debt through massive government bond purchases. But pressure on them is growing. French Finance Minister Francois Baroin said on Wednesday the ECB should act as lender of last resort, citing the effectiveness of the U.S., British and Swiss central banks in this role. Economists were clear that greater involvement from the ECB would have to come with fiscal strings attached.
The crisis took an unexpected turn on Wednesday thanks to one of Germany's worst bond auctions since the launch of the euro, prompting concerns the debt crisis was even beginning to threaten Berlin -- a previously unthinkable prospect which may change the approach of Europe's largest economy.
Fourteen out of 20 prominent academics, former policymakers and independent thinkers polled over the last 10 days agreed the euro zone's make-up would change. A new "core" euro zone with fewer members received qualified backing from 10 economists as a possible solution, with seven of them saying Greece should be excluded from it.
"The euro zone can and should survive, but will not survive on the current trajectory," said Jeffrey Sachs, director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University in New York. There was a recurring theme that to tackle the crisis the European Central Bank should either become lender of last resort, or buy huge quantities of euro zone government bonds, in exchange for binding fiscal integration.
Germany, the euro zone's paymaster, and the ECB itself are staunchly opposed to the central bank becoming a lender of last resort, or monetising debt through massive government bond purchases. But pressure on them is growing. French Finance Minister Francois Baroin said on Wednesday the ECB should act as lender of last resort, citing the effectiveness of the U.S., British and Swiss central banks in this role. Economists were clear that greater involvement from the ECB would have to come with fiscal strings attached.
The crisis took an unexpected turn on Wednesday thanks to one of Germany's worst bond auctions since the launch of the euro, prompting concerns the debt crisis was even beginning to threaten Berlin -- a previously unthinkable prospect which may change the approach of Europe's largest economy.
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Victor Burek : "about .2 worse at rates above 4.25..less than .1 worse at lower rates"
Kent Mikkola #353976 : "REPRICE: 3:34 PM - Flagstar Worse"
Matthew Graham : "volume has been high all day in 10's. last hour was the lightest though, relative to other hours in the day"
Michael Tadros : "REPRICE: 3:05 PM - Interbank Better"
Aaron Buyside Meyer : "MG is there heavy vol on the 10 yr?"
Rob Clark : "REPRICE: 2:49 PM - Provident Funding Better"
David Gaffin : "Radian will take any DU approve eligible. Rate might be off but don't expect so..."
Eric McDonald : "Are there any MI companies allowing borrower to have lastes in the last 12 mos? I have a guy at 90% and his credit score is 750 but he has multiple lates on student loans in the past year. Was trying to go with PF but realized their overlay says no lates over 80% (they say it comes from the MI company they use). Thakns for any info."
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- US TREASURY - PRIMARY DEALERS TAKE $11.96 BLN OF 7-YEAR NOTES SALE, INDIRECT $11.56 BLN "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- U.S. 7-YEAR NOTES BID-TO-COVER RATIO 3.20, NON-COMP BIDS $20.29 MLN "
Victor Burek : "sweet...go USA"
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- U.S. SELLS $29 BLN 7-YEAR NOTES AT HIGH YIELD 1.415 PCT, AWARDS 32.00 PCT OF BIDS AT HIGH "
Matthew Graham : "double A+"
Victor Burek : "good one?"
BVG : "what time is the auction?"
Rob Ellis : "That's what I thought:( Hopefully there's zero correlation"
Jason Wilborn : "last week of Nov Rob"
Rob Ellis : "What week was it last year that rates jumped significantly? I'm not positive but it seemed that rates going into December were still excellent and then suddenly they jumped 1/2%+"