At A Glance:
- No scheduled data today, plus light data for the rest of the week
- Stocks set to open in positive territory
- MBS not doing well over the weekend or this morning
- currently down 3 ticks DoD
- QUICK LOCK GUIDE: FLOAT. With limited data, it could go either way. Still, be prepared for a change for the worse. We'll update you immediately if we see it coming. Treasuries and Stocks are worthless indicators today.
- VIGILANCE: HIGH, the refresh button is your friend today
abbreviations guide (ongoing list):
- MBS -
- Mortgage Backed Security
- MDPC-
- Mid Day Price Change (plus means for the better, minus for the worse)
- DOW or DJIA -
- Dow Jones Industrial Average
- Ticks-
- 1/32nds of bond pricing. 8 ticks=8/32nds=.25 in cost (YSP or discount)
- DoD, YoY, MoM-
- Day over day, year over year, month over month, etc..
- O/N-
- Overnight
- Coupon-
- The "interest rate' of the MBS
- 6.0's, 5.5's
- always means FNMA 30yr Fixed MBS with a coupon of that number. 6.0's = 6.0% coupon rate MBS
- PCE-
- Personal Consumption Expenditures
- UST-
- United States Treasury Bonds. 5UST = 5 year, 10UST = 10 year, etc..
- NAPM (PMI)
- National association of purchasing management (Purchasing Manager's Index)
- ISM (MFG)
- Institute for Supply Management (mfg: manufacturing)
- Wide/Gap/Gappy
- refers to the wideness or gap between treasury yields and MBS yields.
- "Going Out"
- 4:45PM EST. Official Close is 3pm EST
- FI
- "fixed income." For our purposes, will simply refer to treasuries and MBS
- NFP
- Non-Farm Payrolls. Key part of employment report. Most meaningful gauge of labor market
- ADP
- ADP private payrolls, some feel a precursor to NFP, but historically quasi-accurate at best.