Tue, Aug 4 2009, 8:25 AM
With the S&P 500 improving 1.5% yesterday, Sal Guatieri from BMO Capital Markets noted that the index has seen its best five-month performance since 1...
Tue, Aug 4 2009, 8:13 AM
Recap of Previous Session
* Big 'Ol Sell-Off yesterday following hit after hit from the "recovery monster."
* ISM and Construction Spendin...
Tue, Aug 4 2009, 5:02 PM
In case you missed the most recent commentary, start with that as there is no fundamental change to the price action between then and now. Additional...
Tue, Aug 4 2009, 3:57 PM
If you were here yesterday, then consider yourself excused from today... Although it would have been nice to know this before you came in I suppose.....
Tue, Aug 4 2009, 3:20 PM
Despite an uneven response across participating servicers, the Department of the Treasury is generally pleased with the progress achieved by the Makin...
Tue, Aug 4 2009, 1:06 PM
At our lowest point so far this AM, the 4.5 touched levels around 99-20 when one includes the more outlying type trades that we tend to see courtesy o...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 12:08 PM
Beyond stop out selling...activity in the 10 yr TSY note has been somewhat subdued today. Here is a chart of the 10 yr TSY Sept. Futures contract. Not...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 12:04 PM
The S&P 500 began August by touching the 1,000 mark for the first time since early November. Led by an unexpected gain in construction spending and a ...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 11:58 AM
Last week mortgage rates were up, then they were down, then they were up, then on Friday they finally moved under 5% again. Following a successful auc...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 10:09 AM
After the ISM manufacturing PMI number came in higher than expected (48.9 vs. 46.2)...the 10 yr TSY yield rose from 3.56 to 3.62 and the "rate sheet ...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 8:28 AM
Recap Of Previous Session
* Very Stable, Very Nice Friday Rally took us nearly as high as we've been since Black Wednesday
* Stocks gained...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 8:12 AM
This week is a busy one for the macroeconomy as markets and analysts will receive some of the first major indicators of how the nation is faring at th...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 6:04 PM
Strong Chinese manufacturing data followed by a better than expected Eurozone PMI print coupled with "recession may be over" comments from Alan Greens...
Mon, Aug 3 2009, 2:45 PM
You would expect all hell to be breaking loose in TSYs given the dollar weakness and optimism in equities, however we are just kinda hanging out at th...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 12:56 PM
Happy Friday...
This is simply a chart illustrating the continued rally in MBS and Treasuries. This puts us on the high side of this week's trend ch...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 12:50 PM
Market reaction has been mixed since it was confirmed that second-quarter GDP contracted at a much slower pace than the in the prior quarter. The data...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 12:24 PM
The roller coaster theme continued yesterday but in reverse from the prior two days. If you recall, on both Tuesday and Wednesday mortgage backed se...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 11:08 AM
As originators scramble with last minute closings (not so much with new TIL) there has been an end of month hustle and bustle about the MBS market thi...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 8:30 AM
Yesterday's Recap
* 7yr Auction much better than previous auctions this week.
* Good midday support from internal trendlines
* MBS fo...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 6:36 PM
A combination of better and simpler disclosures from lenders, combined with the assurance of complete and accurate information from borrowers, would g...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 6:16 PM
Not too often do we see a MBS rally on Friday, but it is happening today. Currently MBS are up .75 basis points which has resulted in most lenders r...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 5:02 PM
Have you noticed a lack of MBS specific analysis lately?
We havent been discussing MBS duration or educating on embedded options. We've left out sp...
Fri, Jul 31 2009, 3:03 PM
Answer: When prices are better by half a point on the day with absolutely no volatility...
The half point improvement portion of the above answer i...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 11:46 AM
One has to assume that, based on the results of the previous three auctions (good demand for 20 YR TIPS, crappy demand for saturated 2s market, crapp...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 11:38 AM
The theme of the week continues. Mortgage backed securities were again unable to hold onto early morning gains following a less than expected Durable...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 10:21 AM
Although many might expect the stock rally to cause chaos in the TSY market as portfolio allocations favor riskier stocks....the 10 yr is holding stea...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 8:27 AM
Recap Of Last Session
* Durable goods weaker than expected, lends to early fixed income strength
* Once again, bonds rallied into a tsy au...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 5:17 PM
If no one else, you can always count on us to point out when we were right.
At 2:15 PM we gave you the following chart before any bounce had occurr...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 3:16 PM
Although only status quo has bee kept...STATUS QUO HAS BEEN KEPT....all while stocks made new 2009 highs. Benchmark big brother TSYs and "rate sheet i...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 2:49 PM
In the past year most of us have listened to, or expressed our views, on the need for the mortgage industry to make changes. Why has so much collecti...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 2:38 PM
Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Secretary Shaun Donovan released new guidelines on Thursday for FHA's Affordable Modification Progra...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 2:29 PM
Mortgages rates rose across the board during the most recent week according to data released by both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Freddie Mac's vice p...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 1:48 PM
Some traditional post auction volatility has entered the scene. As stocks have continued to move higher and profits have been taken, we've seen a ret...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 1:33 PM
After a two-day pause on Tuesday and Wednesday, markets are continuing the rally that began three weeks ago. Midway through Thursday, markets are up c...
Thu, Jul 30 2009, 1:02 PM
Mixed signals from the 7yr Auction results as the high yield was 6bps over current trading with 91% coming in at high. At face value, not so good, bu...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 12:45 PM
It’s adding up to be a pretty bad day for markets as new orders for durable goods tumbled, demand for mortgage applications shrunk, the Chinese stock ...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 11:59 AM
The roller coaster theme of recent weeks continues. Yesterday mortgage backed securities were unable to hold onto impressive early morning gains follo...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 10:52 AM
Volatility is an angry animal...especially when the market is poking and prodding at a wide range of resistance and support levels. Dont get caught up...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 8:44 AM
* MBS gained moderately yesterday despite drama
* Stocks were actually down. Wait... What?
* 2 yr auction not well received by bond market...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 8:38 AM
Mortgage rates climbed for the second straight week, pulling down demand for mortgage applications, particularly for refinancing, according to a weekl...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 5:08 PM
Pete Townshend certainly seemed like he was confident about something in one his more popular songs... Perhaps when we ask ourselves "Who" knows what...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 2:37 PM
Following the crappy 5 yr note auction....the long end of the yield curve sold off and "rate sheet influential" MBS prices ticked considerably lower. ...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 1:31 PM
I posed Jeff's question to the National Association of Mortgage Brokers and they responded with an invitation to the national membership committee. O...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 1:14 PM
Putting another 10 minutes between us and the auction has allowed more of the characteristic volatility to play out. See below that the 10 yr immedia...
Wed, Jul 29 2009, 1:02 PM
We'll get charts to you momentarily, but at a 1.92 Bid to cover and continuing underwhelming foreign support, the 5yr auction that just went off did n...
Tue, Jul 28 2009, 12:52 PM
Reports from fellow mortgage professionals are indicating that mortgage rates are improved this morning. The par 30 year conventional rate mortgage i...
Tue, Jul 28 2009, 12:40 PM
Housing data was positive this morning but markets are reeling from mixed earnings reports and weak consumer confidence. Ninety minutes into the sessi...
Tue, Jul 28 2009, 10:34 AM
Although a rally has ensued on the long end of the yield curve and prices "rate sheet influential" MBS coupons are moving higher....the FN 4.5 is up 1...
Tue, Jul 28 2009, 10:25 AM
Home prices across the nation improved for their fourth consecutive month in May but remain about 17% lower than one year ago, according to the S&P Ca...
Tue, Jul 28 2009, 8:19 AM
* Horrible volume yesterday, no data, and market waiting for today's auction
* MBS outperformed treasuries
* Tsy's Lost Big, MBS just a few ...
